Family, who understands this! The king of hype in the crypto world, Musk, is actually going to fulfill a "joke" from four years ago. The DOGE-1 moon landing mission is confirmed to launch at the end of 2025! This is the world's first space mission fully funded by cryptocurrency, equivalent to buying a rocket ticket with an "internet meme coin." It’s crazy, but this operation really has the whole circle in an uproar!

1. This wave of moon landing is completely different from the previous "rhetoric".

Stop treating this as a meme. As someone who has been watching the crypto market for 8 years, I dare say this is the most hardcore endorsement since DOGE was born:

  • Breaking the dimensional wall: Cryptocurrency, once trading concepts online, is now landing on a physical task of "breaking out of Earth," which makes the stakes sky-high.

  • Free global advertising: Mainstream media like CNN and BBC, which usually don't mention crypto much, will definitely chase and report on "Moon Dogecoin," equivalent to giving DOGE a wave of comprehensive exposure.

  • The timing is perfect: The end of 2025 just happens to fall within the cycle window; if the overall environment improves, this event-driven momentum can directly ride the wind.

The key is that this time it's not Musk casually tweeting but rather a confirmed launch plan with a space company; there’s substantive progress, which is different from merely "shouting slogans" — it's like the difference between sketching a pie and actually serving the meal.

II. The current status of Dogecoin: stagnant for almost a year, and the retail investors are nearly lying flat.

Currently, DOGE is hovering around 0.15 dollars; this position is awkward to say the least, yet crucial:

  • Technical analysis: Stagnant for nearly 12 months, unable to fall but also unable to rise, a typical "silence before directional choice."

  • Sentiment analysis: Veteran players waiting for a signal to escape, new players are scared off by the previous "Musk tactics" and dare not easily enter the market.

  • Financial aspect: Trading volume has shrunk to a recent low, indicating that everyone is "holding their coins and waiting," and no one is willing to take the first step.

Interestingly, after the moon landing news came out, the market hardly rose — this indicates that the market is becoming more rational, no longer in the phase of "one tweet from Musk makes everything go all-in," everyone is waiting for the "rocket to really stand up" as solid proof.

III. The Musk Effect is decreasing, but a thin dead camel is bigger than a horse.

Looking back at history, Musk is indeed DOGE's "chief sales officer":

  • 2021: A single tweet made DOGE surge 500% in one day, transforming from "meme coin" into a candidate for "hundred-fold coin."

  • 2024: Announced that Tesla would accept DOGE payments, leading to another wave of a 200% increase.

But I must remind everyone: the increase in these two rounds is decreasing. The first was driven by "freshness," the second by "application implementation," and this time to replicate the previous surge, relying solely on the "moon landing story" isn't enough; one must see the key milestones in task progress (like rocket assembly completion, launch window confirmation).

The market is evolving, and retail investors are learning — today's investors care more for "substantive progress" rather than just a "good story."

IV. The obsession with 1 dollar: is it a dream or a trap?

The community shouts every day for "DOGE to reach 1 dollar"; this number isn’t random, but it’s not that easy to achieve:

  • Psychological significance: 1 dollar symbolizes DOGE's rise from "altcoin" to "mainstream tier," just like a small internet celebrity breaking into the first-tier star circle.

  • Market value logic: DOGE's market cap is around 20 billion now, to rise to 1 dollar, the market cap needs to push to 140 billion, squeezing into the top five global crypto assets, which requires massive funds to enter.

  • Reality difficulty: From 0.15 to 1 dollar, it needs to increase nearly 7 times. Achieving this in a bear market? It's like climbing to the sky; but if it coincides with a bull market cycle, plus the lunar event catalyst, it’s not completely impossible.

My view is: 1 dollar is not "impossible", but it is definitely not "inevitable"; it fundamentally depends on two variables: the overall market environment in 2025 and whether the moon landing mission can be successfully executed.

V. Analyst's practical advice: How different players can layout without stepping into pitfalls.

As someone who has been through it, I suggest everyone consider two types of strategies; don’t blindly follow the trend:

  • Long-term players (holding for 6-12 months):

    1. Build positions in batches, don’t enter heavily; slowly layout in the 0.12-0.15 dollar range.

    2. Set a stop-loss line; if it drops below 0.1 dollars, decisively reduce your position, don’t hold on stubbornly.

    3. Focus on key nodes: rocket assembly, launch confirmation, media concentrated reporting period; these are points of emotional explosion.

  • Short-term players (holding for 1-3 months):

    1. Wait for a volume breakout above 0.2 dollars before taking action; don’t chase highs before the breakout.

    2. Operate based on news; enter the market when there’s new progress on the mission, and run quickly when the heat cools down.

    3. Don’t turn short-term trading into "long-term shareholder"; DOGE is highly volatile, and greed can easily lead to being trapped.

VI. Three bombs that must be wary of; don’t be blinded by the dream of the moon.

No matter how good the story sounds, one must wake up and see the risks:

  • Time bomb: Delays in space missions are the norm; if by the end of 2025 it doesn't launch, or even gets postponed to a bear market, this sentiment will cool off directly.

  • Macro bomb: If the Federal Reserve is still raising interest rates in 2025, the entire crypto market will lack funds; it's difficult for DOGE to stand out on its own.

  • Dependency bomb: DOGE's price is too tied to Musk and single events; if Musk doesn’t back it later, or if there’s a small mishap in the mission, the price could very likely crash.

The most fatal is the "disappointment after expectations are fully raised"; if everyone is waiting for a surge from the moon landing, and the task goes smoothly but the market doesn’t react, it could very well result in a "good news fully priced in becomes bad news" correction.

To be honest: I have been watching the crypto market for so many years, seen countless "myths", and countless "scams". The DOGE-1 moon landing thing is the most "outrageous but possible" operation I have seen; if successful, DOGE will be directly written into history, and the price might really surge; if it fails, it will just return to the previous "meme coin" positioning.

But regardless of the outcome, this event is definitely one of the biggest highlights in the crypto space for 2025.

Do you think DOGE can reach 1 dollar? Leave your target price and holding plan in the comments! I will continuously track the progress of the DOGE-1 launch and later provide a detailed node layout guide; follow me, and I won't miss any key signals before the launch.

#美国结束政府停摆 #十月加密行情 #美国ADP数据超预期