According to the Great Powers Index 2024 by Ray Dalio, the global economic landscape is shifting dramatically — and emerging markets are set to take the lead. The report, which analyzes 24 major economies through indicators like GDP, trade, life expectancy, and productivity, paints a clear picture: the next decade belongs to Asia.



🇼🇳 India tops the list with an estimated 6.3% annual real growth, the highest among all major economies. Strong demographics, expanding industries, and improving infrastructure continue to drive its rise as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.



Following India, the UAE and Indonesia are projected to grow around 5.5%, while Saudi Arabia and Turkey maintain solid momentum above 4%. These regions are becoming the new engines of global expansion, powered by diversification, digitalization, and young workforces.



In contrast, advanced economies are expected to slow down. The United States, despite its $30 trillion GDP and strong financial system, is projected to grow at just 1.4% per year — ranking 22nd out of 35 major economies. Germany and Italy, once industrial powerhouses, could even face negative growth (-0.5%) over the next ten years due to aging populations, high debt, and weak productivity.



🇹🇳 China, the world’s second-largest economy, is expected to maintain moderate strength with 4% annual growth, continuing to expand its influence despite structural challenges and slower momentum compared to its past.



In summary:


Emerging markets — led by India, Indonesia, and China — are redefining global economic power. Meanwhile, Western economies face a decade of modest expansion and structural headwinds. The balance of global growth is shifting East — and this transformation could reshape trade, finance, and investment flows worldwide.



📊 Top Projected Real Growth Rates (Next 10 Years)




  • 🇼🇳 India: 6.3%


  • 🇩đŸ‡Ș UAE: 5.5%


  • đŸ‡źđŸ‡© Indonesia: 5.5%


  • 🇾🇩 Saudi Arabia: 4.6%


  • đŸ‡čđŸ‡· Turkey: 4.0%


  • 🇹🇳 China: 4.0%


  • đŸ‡ș🇾 U.S.: 1.4%

  • đŸ‡©đŸ‡Ș Germany: -0.5%


  • 🇼đŸ‡č Italy: -0.5%




📈 The decade ahead may mark a global economic realignment — one driven by innovation, population growth, and emerging-market resilience.

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