When I first heard about Uptober, I thought it was a joke. There is no such thing as a happy month! And yet Bitcoin consistently shows that it really likes October. And if it's against logic - so much the worse for it.

🔥Binance account with a lifetime 20% discount on fees! Check it out!🔥

❓ Is this even true?

The name Uptober sounds like a meme invented in an economics lecture. A reasonable person refuses to take it seriously. And yet: Bitcoin has risen in October in about 65-70% of cases between 2013 and 2024. Is this an incentive to throw life savings into BTC? Absolutely not. Is this phenomenon worth analyzing? Definitely yes.

When you look at specific years, you start to see a pattern. We won't track the entire history of BTC here, let's summarize briefly:

  • 2013 - October brought a jump from around $125 to $200. That's over 60% in a month, but Bitcoin was still niche.

  • 2017 - an interesting year. October with a 33% increase paved the way for the December frenzy.

  • 2020 - the time of the pandemic, the March crash, uncertainty. And October? Bitcoin went up by a solid 28%.

  • 2021 - a crazy year, and Uptober kicked Bitcoin into high gear: almost 40%.

  • 2022 - a moment of calm, fear after the fall of Terra/Luna allowed only for a 5% increase.

  • 2023 - thaw after the crypto winter: 28%.

  • 2024 - no hype, but with dignity, almost 11% is much more than a year in a deposit.

  • 2025 - we'll live and see.

🤔 But how is that possible?!

Here are some possible reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price:

  1. Traders are coming back from vacation. It's mundane, but true. August-September is the period when half of Wall Street is on vacation, and the other half pretends to work. The end of September is a return to the game.

  2. October marks the beginning of a new quarter. Large funds rebalance their portfolios before the end of the year and launch new strategies.

  3. Industry events are taking place. October hosts important crypto conferences, e.g. DC Fintech Week. Companies announce new products, partnerships, and initiatives prepared over the summer. This information accumulates, increasing interest.

  4. Correlation with traditional markets. This month is often the beginning of the autumn rally in the stock markets. When the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rebound, Bitcoin often follows the trend.

  5. The self-fulfilling prophecy effect. When enough people believe in Uptober, they start betting on increases at the end of September. They buy, so the price rises, and the meme becomes reality.

💰 Uptober: how can you benefit from it?

It all depends on who you are.

  1. DCA enthusiast - increase purchases this month by 20% if RSI > 50 and the price hasn't risen yet.

  2. Trader - pay special attention to volume - its increase is often a prelude to a strong upward movement.

  3. HODLer - if you are significantly in profit and October has strengthened that, you might realize some of the gains.

  4. On-chain analyst - watch the increase in active addresses, the decrease in BTC reserves on exchanges, and... transaction fees. A spike in costs usually precedes price impulses.

  5. Altcoin seeker - a good strategy is swing: sell 10-20% of BTC after a strong move and reinvest in top cryptocurrencies.

⚠️ Safety rules

As the guy from the old joke said: well, how much can you lose in this business?

In crypto? Everything, even a house bought on credit and your own kidney. That's why it's very important to keep a level head.

  1. Don't treat Uptober as a certainty. Think of it as a statistically favorable moment, nothing more. The risk management rules still apply.

  2. Connect data with sentiments. If the market shows a sell-off, volume decreases, and the media spreads pessimism - maybe this year will be an exception to the rule.

  3. An increase above 10-15% can trigger FOMO. Be sensible, don't let yourself be fooled. Maybe that was the main wave of increases.

  4. Don't overdo it with leverage! Leverage is great when you're on the right side of the market, but corrections can be sharp.

  5. Negative news from politics (new war) or the economy (interest rate hike) can easily derail increases. Crypto is just a small slice of reality.

Is October 2025 another Uptober? I don't know, influencers on well-known social media platforms don't know either. What I do know is that it's worth looking at the charts more often this month. Some of the strongest crypto rallies started precisely in October.