Increase position in dot steadily, expect interest rate cuts by the end of the month, or achieve the psychological target for gradual profit-taking, no romantic relationships
Essential points:
1. The U.S. will open next week, expectations for the launch of counterfeit ETF;
2. Improvement in economic models;
3. CPI data to be released next Friday, further strengthening expectations for interest rate cuts, the overall environment for rate cuts by the end of the month, releasing favorable expectations for macro liquidity;
On October 18, according to CME 'Federal Reserve Watch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in October is 99%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 1%.
Expected rise 4.5U, calculated at 2.9, profit 1.6U
Expected drop 2.772 loss 0.128U
Risk return: 12.5