In 2018, I stepped into the crypto world with 5600U, witnessing countless people liquidate their positions due to high leverage and emotional trading.

However, my account has steadily grown to seven figures over the past five years, with the maximum drawdown consistently kept within 10%.

The core secret is just one: replace 'gambling mentality' with 'probability thinking'. The three iron rules I share today may help you become a long-term winner in the market.

First Cut: Layered profit locking, compounding rollover.

I always adhere to the principle of 'capital safety first'. Before each trade, I use a self-made probability analysis table to calculate the winning rate and profit-loss ratio, only opening a position when the expected return exceeds the risk by three times.

Once the profit reaches 12% of the capital, I immediately transfer 60% of the profit to a cold wallet, while the remaining part continues to roll over.

Specific operation: Each time the account doubles, withdraw 20% to allocate to inflation-resistant assets such as gold or US Treasuries.

In the past five years, I have withdrawn a total of 47 times, with a single week’s highest withdrawal reaching 250,000U, even triggering a risk control check by the exchange. This strategy ensures stable cash flow during bear markets and avoids significant asset shrinkage.

Second Cut: Multi-cycle hedging, harvesting profits in a volatile market.

The market is in a volatile state 70% of the time, and blindly chasing highs and cutting losses will only lead to being 'chopped'. The core of my 'probability hedging table' lies in multi-cycle linkage analysis:

Daily line determines the trend (e.g., whether BTC is above MA120);

4-hour divides the range (identifying support and resistance levels);

15-minute finds entry points (combining volume changes for placing orders).

Third Cut: Stop-loss is the ticket, small losses for big wins.

I never obsess over the outcome of a single trade. Statistics show that my winning rate is only 41%, but the profit-loss ratio is as high as 4.8:1 — this means that for every 1U lost, the potential profit is 4.8U. Key operations include:

Strict position management: Total capital divided into 10 parts, with only 1 part used for a single trade, pausing trading after two consecutive losses;

Dynamic profit-taking and stop-loss: When profits reach twice the stop-loss line, move the stop-loss to the cost price to protect capital safety;

Probability table calibration: Update historical data weekly, using Excel functions (such as COUNTIF, SUMPRODUCT) to calculate the winning rate of different strategies and eliminate invalid signals.

There are no myths of guaranteed profits in the crypto world, but through probability hedging and capital management, ordinary people can also turn exchanges into 'ATM machines'. @Yaya丫