đ #RedSeptember: Myth or Reality?
Every year, many traders say that September always ends in red for cryptos. But is it true? Letâs take a look at the numbers, past trends, and what it means for today:
Over the last 10-12 years, in 8 of the 11 years, cryptos have had negative returns in September.
However, in the years when September is positive, the following 4á”ʰ quarter tends to be very strong. The historical recovery that starts at the end of September or October is notable.
đĄ Analysis: why this myth persists
Seasonal effect: after summer months with little activity, some investors rebalance their portfolios, leading to sales.
Economic/regulatory costs: macro announcements (FED rates, inflationâŠ) in September are often unfavorable.
Psychological effect: traders are wary of the weak history and take their profits.
Today: What this means
Although the historical average leans towards negative performance, September 2025 denotes a strong divergence: +8%, making it one of the best Septembers since 2012.
This means that even if âRed Septemberâ remains a trend to be aware of, it is not inevitable â the macro context, catalysts, innovations/regulation can reverse the trend.
đ§ Conclusion & Tips for HODLers/Traders
Myth â absolute truth: âRed Septemberâ is often real, but not always.
If you want to trade or HODL in September, keep an eye on:
- Major economic announcements (FED, inflation)
- Key technical levels of support/resistance
- The direction of volumes & Open Interest
In general, if September is positive, it can herald a strong 4á”ʰ quarter.


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