In the past, cryptocurrency markets often exhibited a "time difference" between the East and the West, with core fluctuations concentrated during Western trading hours (corresponding to 21:30 to 7:30 the following day, Beijing time). Large rallies often occurred in the early morning hours. Consequently, many experienced traders would choose to go to bed at 20:00 and wake up at 4:00 a.m. to monitor the market. Based on this characteristic, the following practical rules have been summarized:
1. Take advantage of the time difference to buy at the bottom: If there is a continuous sharp drop in the domestic market during the day, you can seize the opportunity to buy at the bottom. Usually by 21:30 during the Western trading hours, the market is likely to rise.
2. Be wary of the trap of chasing high prices during the day: If the domestic market rises sharply during the day, do not blindly chase high prices. In most cases, the market will fall back at night, so avoid standing guard at high positions.
3. “Pin” is a key signal: Buying and selling decisions can focus on the “pin” trend. The deeper the pin, the stronger the corresponding buy or sell signal, which can be used as a reference for operation.
4. Good news is bad news: Before a major meeting or before good news is announced, the market tends to rise in advance; but once the meeting is held and the news is announced, the market will most likely turn around and fall, so you need to prepare in advance.
5. Take a converse approach to “hot recommendations”: If you get excited about a highly hyped currency in the community or a purchase plan that everyone is enthusiastically discussing, it’s likely a trap, and it’s safer to do the opposite. Conversely, when a currency is extremely hot, decisively shorting it often yields a profit.
6. Pay attention to opportunities you're not interested in: If a group member recommends a currency you're not initially interested in, it might actually rise in value later. If in doubt, try it with a small position to avoid missing out.
7. Heavy positions will inevitably bring risks: Once you hold a large position, the risk of liquidation will increase dramatically - you will directly become a key target on the exchange's liquidation list. Position control is the bottom line for survival.
8. A reversal often occurs after a stop-loss order: When your short position triggers a stop-loss order, the market often begins to decline. Essentially, the market maker is trying to force you to exit the market by driving the price up, tricking you into exiting the market, and only then will the downward trend begin. This was previously seen with TRB.
9. It's easy to get stuck before unwinding: When your position is close to unwinding, just one last bit of gains away, the rebound often stops suddenly. The market maker won't let you close your position easily, and there's a high probability that the market will shake out at this point.
10. Markets only rise after you take profit: After you execute a take-profit order and exit the market, the market often begins to "take off." The reason is simple—only by allowing profit-taking like you to exit the market and relieve pressure on the market can the market makers successfully push prices up.
11. Excitement always leads to risk: When you get excited about a rising market, a crash often follows. Your excitement is the bait used by the market makers to lure you into the market.
12. It is easy to fall into the "FOMO trap" when you are short: When you have lost all your money and choose to short your position, most projects in the market will rise collectively. The purpose is to arouse your "fear of missing out (FOMO)" and induce you to blindly enter the market again.
In summary, the probability of cryptocurrency market manipulation exceeds 80%. To survive, in addition to strictly controlling your positions, you must also learn to "strike back"—refuse to enter the market without first clearly understanding the market makers' manipulation intentions. Otherwise, you will simply become a fish on the chopping board.
Trading is never about luck, but about patience, determination, and a good grasp of timing. I encourage all traders to do the same. Every day brings new possibilities in the cryptocurrency world. I hope these experiences can help you. Feel free to click on my profile picture to connect with me and make progress together.
