'What the market fears most is not a crash, but the torment of waiting for the shoe to drop - just like now, the Federal Reserve and Trump are tearing each other apart from afar, while BTC is playing 'wooden man' at the 110000 dollar mark, both bulls and bears are holding their breath, waiting to see who blinks first!'
Technical aspect: Consolidation is not lying flat, it's a deep breath before a big move
The current trend of BTC is like a 'sandwich': the upper level at 117495 is like a ceiling, making it hard for the bulls to breathe; the lower level at 112595 is a key support, and the bears dare not easily smash the market. The MACD dual lines are sticking near the zero axis like chewing gum, and the volume bars are thinner than toothpicks - what does this indicate? The main force is drinking tea and watching the show, while retail investors are stabbing each other!
Key signal:
Break at 112595: High probability heading straight for 107355, bears' carnival;
Volume breaks through 117495: Short-term bulls counterattack, 120,000 dollars is not a dream.
Don't be fooled by the current boredom; remember the old saying: 'As long as it is wide, it can be tall'! Last September, after the Federal Reserve adopted a hawkish stance, BTC consolidated for a week before exploding 8%—history does not repeat, but the script is always similar.
News front: Internal conflicts in the Federal Reserve, is the crypto circle a 'melon-eating beneficiary'?
The scoop reported by Reuters today seems to be Trump and the judge at odds, but it actually targets the Federal Reserve's 'independence'! If a future president can randomly replace officials, monetary policy could become a political toy in an instant—does this mean bad news or good news for the crypto circle?
Short-term: The judge blocks Trump, and the market breathes a sigh of relief; BTC didn't kneel directly;
Long-term: The independence of the Federal Reserve is weakened, and the traditional financial system may go haywire. Institutions may instead hoard BTC as 'digital gold'—after all, on-chain assets, no matter how chaotic, are more reliable than the real world.
Personal opinion: Chasing highs and cutting losses now? It's better to lay back and wait for the wind!
To be frank: in this market, those chasing highs are warriors, those cutting losses are martyrs, and smart money is doing two things:
Order at 107355: Wait for the support level to break before buying (provided it doesn’t actually fall through);
Wait for a volume breakout at 117495: Confirm the trend before chasing, safe and worry-free.
The middle segment 'ECG trend' is purely the main force testing patience—rather than staring at the market every day, it's better to snack and watch Trump and the Supreme Court argue, while thinking: If the Federal Reserve is really politically hijacked, could BTC become the next 'digital safe haven'?
Remember: The crypto circle is best at 'using news for sneak attacks'! How many people cut losses at the floor when Silicon Valley Bank collapsed last year? As a result, the Federal Reserve's intervention caused BTC to surge 20% in a single day. The same applies now—higher political uncertainty makes BTC's safe-haven narrative stronger, but timing must wait for the market to choose a side!
Are you ready for the next massive bullish candle?
This market right now is like the calm before the storm—117495 and 112595, one of them is bound to explode! Want to catch the breakthrough first? Focus on Shen Ce.
(Code hint: Tonight at 20:30, real-time interpretation of lateral signal + sudden news change in the village. If you miss this wave, you might have to wait another week!)
I am Shen Ce, the analyst in the crypto circle who dares to speak the truth—markets won't pamper you, but I will!#纳斯达克代币化交易提案
