I. Overview of K-line Trends
From the recent 4-hour K-line, the price shows certain volatility characteristics. Compared to September 7, 2025, at 16:00, the price has dropped significantly, indicating heavy selling pressure in the market during this time period. However, compared to September 6, 2025, at 16:00, the price has rebounded, indicating that there is some rebound strength in the market. At the same time, compared to September 7, 2025, at 12:00, the price is also in a declining state.
From the K-line pattern, there appears a small bearish candle, and the last K-line is a bearish line with the closing price being lower than the opening price. This indicates that the current market bears have a slight upper hand, but the decline is relatively limited, and there is a certain game between the bulls and bears at the current price level.
Two, Trading Volume Analysis
In the last 4 hours, trading volume has increased, showing an upward trend compared to the previous hours. In the context of falling prices, the simultaneous rise in trading volume usually indicates that selling pressure is continuously increasing. More investors choose to sell their BTC at this time, leading to downward pressure on prices and a warming bearish sentiment in the market.
Three, Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD Indicator: The current MACD does not show a clear trend direction. However, the MACD histogram remains positive and gradually shortens, signaling that the strength of the bulls is weakening. Although the bulls still have some residual strength, the momentum is continuously dissipating, and the market may gradually tilt towards the bears.
KDJ Indicator: Currently, the KDJ indicator has neither formed a golden cross nor a death cross. It is worth noting that the KDJ value has reached 101, indicating a severely overbought state. Generally speaking, an overbought KDJ indicator suggests that there may be a pullback pressure in the market in the short term, combined with the current market's oscillating and declining characteristics, the likelihood of subsequent price declines is relatively high.
Four, Key Point Analysis
Buying Points: Analyst Ming points out that the first buying point is 109510.31 and the second buying point is 109723.0. These two points may be based on market support conditions and technical rebound signals. 109510.31 is the recent lowest point, and there may be strong support near this level, potentially stabilizing and rebounding; 109723.0 is also the recent support level, with relatively strong support. If the price can stabilize at this level, it may be a good buying opportunity.
Long Stop-Loss Point: Set at 108962.76. The setting of the stop-loss point is to minimize losses by stopping losses promptly when market trends do not meet expectations. When the price falls below this level, it indicates a strong downtrend in the market, and previous buying judgments may have been erroneous, necessitating a timely exit.
Selling Points: The first selling point is 112954.32, which is the recent highest point. There may be strong selling pressure near this level, making it a reasonable profit-taking point; the second selling point is 112386.0, which is also the recent resistance level. If the price rises to this point, it may encounter significant resistance, making it difficult to continue rising, thus suitable for selling here.
Short Stop-Loss Point: 113519.09. When the price rises and breaks through this level, it indicates strong bullish strength in the market, and previous short judgments are incorrect, requiring prompt stop-loss.
Five, Comprehensive Judgment
Overall, the current BTC 4-hour market is in an oscillating and declining state. The strength of the bulls is weakening, while the bears are relatively dominant, selling pressure is continuously increasing, and the severely overbought KDJ indicator also signals certain pullback pressure. Investors should closely monitor the breakthrough of each key point when operating, act cautiously, and set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit levels to cope with market volatility risk.
If you are still confused in the crypto circle, lacking first-hand information and professional guidance, why not follow Analyst Ming? Ming has been deeply involved in the crypto space for many years and shares rich experiences and real operational insights every day!#BTC走势分析
