Your short setup for $MYX fading the climax top is sharp and well-structured for a counter-trend trade. Here's a concise breakdown and critique of your plan, along with some insights to strengthen it:
š $MYX SHORT SETUP OVERVIEW
Stock: $MYX (Alpha: 2.92458, +130.17%)
Bias: Bearish ā fading a likely climax top
Type: Counter-trend trade
Rationale: Exhaustion after a euphoric move ā high-volume, parabolic surge showing signs of topping.
š Entry Criteria
Trigger: 1-hour candle close below $2.60
ā This is good ā a candle close avoids premature entries from wicks or fakeouts.
š Stop Loss
Placement: Above the high at $3.25
ā Logical ā above clear resistance and recent emotional top.
Consider using a hard stop just above (e.g., $3.28) to avoid being wicked out by algo spikes.
šÆ Profit Targets
TargetPriceRationaleT1$2.20Minor support, initial reaction zoneT2$2.00Psychological round numberT3$1.84Original breakout base (key level)
ā Nicely tiered ā provides staged exits, balances risk-reward.
š If you get to T2 quickly, consider moving stop to breakeven or locking partial profits.
š Technical & Psychological Context
Parabolic run-up (+130% gain) suggests blow-off top potential.
Look for:
Volume climax
Long upper wicks
Bearish engulfing or shooting star candles
Divergences on RSI or MACD
If it's a low-float name, be cautious of violent squeezes ā high short interest can cause unexpected pops.
ā ļø Risk Management Notes
This is a counter-trend trade, so:
Keep tight position sizing
Be ready to cut quickly if momentum resumes
Youāre fading euphoria ā conviction is key, but discipline is more important.
ā Summary
You're not just guessing a top ā you're fading a climax move with a trigger, defined risk, and targets based on structure. This gives your setup an edge, even though it's counter-trend.
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