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The Big Beautiful Bubble You Shouldn’t Ignore
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Inflation steady, no surprise: Came in exactly as expected. Slightly higher than last month (2.8 → 2.9), but markets already priced this in. For the Fed: This is close to the Fed’s 2% target, but not quite there. Since it wasn’t hotter than forecast, it doesn’t force the Fed to delay cuts. But because it didn’t drop further, the Fed may feel less urgency to cut right away. For markets (stocks & crypto): Neutral reaction likely: No bullish surprise (like 2.7%). No bearish shock (like 3.0%+). Traders will now shift focus to the September Fed meeting and Powell’s commentary. For crypto specifically: Expect sideways action in Bitcoin & Ethereum. Big altcoin rallies need a dovish surprise (lower inflation) → didn’t happen. But since no negative shock, no major sell-off either. ✅ Bottom Line Inflation = exactly as expected. Fed still on track to cut rates this year, but timing depends on more data. Crypto likely stays in range ($BTC ~108K–113K zone) unless other catalysts (Fed talk, macro news, ETF flows) hit.
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REMINDER: PCE Inflation announcement in 20 minutes. Expect volatility!
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