In the early session, the big pie at $BTC still hasn't stabilized at 113 and 114, still bearish. If it can't break 108666 today, it probably won't over the weekend.

Last week, I predicted that this week would rise, but that prediction was incorrect. Normally, Monday's closing weekly line should be a bearish line, unless the market gives me a favor and rises to 113668. I know it's impossible for the market to give me a favor; I am self-aware.

Based on the recent price movements, there is a high probability of a downward trend today. Next week, there are too many influencing factors in the news, making it hard to judge. If the economic data is good, it will rise; the better it is, the less likely there will be a rate cut, which is bearish. No matter how you look at the technicals, it all points downward.

In such situations, I think it's best to sit back and watch. As long as it dares to drop down to my target price, then I will act; if not, I will just wait.

Regarding the bottom of the bear market, there is one dimension that is relatively certain. Yesterday, I asked a student's mother, and her mining machine shutdown price is over 50,000, which means that at most it will drop to this level. Previously, it was over 10,000, which also happens to be the bear market bottom.

Ultimately, whether it can reach this level depends on the market conditions. This is for your reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.