Stop just staring at the candlestick charts! The Federal Reserve's 'interest rate drama' is the real market engine. Today, Qing Yao will help you grasp this 'interest rate cut' situation!

Interest rate cut probability is skyrocketing, but don't celebrate too early.

CME data shows that the probability of a rate cut in September is as high as 86.2%, but Qing Yao reminds you: probability ≠ certainty! Waller says he supports a rate cut, while also adding, 'unless the economic data is disappointing' — this is reminiscent of project parties that paint a rosy picture but add 'for reference only'. Be cautious, everyone, of expectation-driven speculation!

Waller's 'art of rhetoric': soft yet firm.

Waller claims that the labor market is weak and requires a rate cut, but emphasizes 'we need employment data to crash + inflation to be controlled'. Qing Yao sees this as a disclaimer similar to those in the crypto world: 'I supported it, but not completely'. He also mentioned 'no script for rate cuts' = take it one step at a time, don't expect spoilers!

Qing Yao's view: Beware of 'expectations turning into bad news'.

Rate cuts are beneficial, but be cautious of 'buying expectations and selling facts'! The market has already priced in expectations, and it may dive when officially announced. Qing Yao suggests: don't FOMO, waiting for a correction to buy in gradually is the way to go!

The Federal Reserve's game is like a crypto contract battle; getting it right leads to wealth, getting it wrong leads to liquidation. Follow @加密青遥 , and every day we will analyze macro trends with a crypto mindset! In the next issue: 'If there really is a rate cut, which sector will take off first?' Place your bets in the comments and see if you're right! #比特币盈利钱包数量新高