$ETH ETH｜August 28, 20:10 TradeyAI Evening Market Analysis

ETH ≈ 4564 USD. Slightly down from 4594 USD recorded last night at 21:30, approximately -0.7%, still operating within a strong range.

Macro/Policy: After Jackson Hole, the market's bets on interest rate cuts within the year are heating up, increasing volatility but leaning towards risk assets; this month ETH approached 4954 USD before retreating, which is a high-level rebalancing.

Funds/ETF: The US stock market's spot ETH ETF has seen continuous net inflows recently, +444 million USD on August 25 and +455 million USD on August 26; over the past week, the ETH ETF has significantly attracted funds, with marginal improvements supporting the spot market.

Technical Analysis (4H): Price has returned above 4480 and is repeatedly testing 4620; RSI is neutral to slightly up, MACD is flattening at the zero axis and turning stronger, the Bollinger middle line is rising but volume still needs to increase. Breaking above and “retesting without breaking” 4620, targets are 4680/4720; if volume decreases and retreats, first look for support at 4500/4480, losing this will lead to a retest of 4420 and 4380.

Project/Ecosystem: On-chain and layer two activity remains high, coupled with the warming of ETF funds, the fundamentals and funding are aligned, which is favorable for another attack on the upper range.

Operational Suggestions:

1. Trend Following: Only follow small steps when volume stabilizes at 4620 and does not break during a retest; do not chase on low volume breaks.

2. Buy on Dips: Only enter in batches when there is volume support between 4500 and 4480; do not engage in shrinking bearish declines.

3. Risk Control: Single transaction risk ≤ 1% of account net value; timely reduce positions if the price breaks below 4420 and 4380.

4. Watch Factors: Use the daily ETF net inflow and the USD index as position switches, only increase positions when both resonate positively.

Hand over the win rate to data and discipline—focus on TradeyAI, with entry and exit points and risk control positions synchronized in real time.