1. Summary

$BNB is compressing on the 1H; short-term direction requires a volume-backed breakout.

• Price ~ $859; near-term catalysts: BNB staking-ETF proposals and ongoing burns reducing circulating supply.

2. Analysis

TA: MA7 ≈857 / MA25 ≈860 / MA99 ≈861 — price trading inside moving-average cluster; recent resistance ~900, support ~830. RSI(6) ≈52 — neutral. Volume is muted; a decisive high-volume 1H close will validate continuation.

FA / On-chain: recent burns have trimmed circulating supply to ~139M and the staking-ETF filings attract institutional capital — both are bullish structural factors if demand follows.

Sentiment risk: large whale transfers or negative ETF/regulatory headlines could flip momentum quickly.

3. Strategy

Momentum (aggressive)

  • Entry: 1H close above $875–$880 with confirming volume.

  • Stop-loss: $830 (explicit).

  • TP1 / TP2: $900–$915 (partial), $960–$1,000 (extension with strong follow-through).

  • Exit triggers: 1H close below $830 on heavy volume; large exchange inflows or negative ETF news.

Conservative (swing)

  • Entry: buy pullback to $835–$845 on bullish reversal + rising volume.

  • Stop-loss: $800.

  • TP1 / TP2: $900, then $950–$980.

  • Exit triggers: failure to hold $830–$835; visible whale-to-CEX transfers or adverse regulatory headlines.