Based on discussions from various platforms, experts, and discussions on X, the value range for SOL is provided
One, phased price forecast
1. Short-term: Remaining in 2025
Lowest price: 155–180
Average price: 180–260
Highest price: 230–350
2. Mid-term: 2026
Forecast range: 220–500
Mainstream consensus: 300–400
Optimistic forecast: 500–850
3. Long-term: 2027–2030
Conservative forecast: 250–400
Neutral forecast: 500–882
Optimistic forecast: 1000–1500
Extremely optimistic: 2000
Two, current trend overview
Regulation and ETF: SEC postponed the decision on Solana ETF to October, but has exempted Lido and Jito staking agreements → compliance risks alleviated.
Institutional funds: Companies like Upexi hold over 3.5 million SOL and participate in staking → Institutions are optimistic in the long term.
Ecosystem: Solana is active in DeFi, NFT, and meme coin ecosystems, bringing traffic and volatility.
Network fundamentals: High throughput, low fees, fast transactions, steadily increasing developers and active wallet numbers.
Three, key reasons for SOL to break 500 next year
1. Technical advantages: High throughput, low transaction fees, fast speed, with a high number of developers.
2. Ecosystem expansion: DeFi, NFT, RWA, and meme coins have highlights, with high network usage.
3. Institutional interest: Listed companies and funds have already taken large positions, staking returns further enhance stability
4. ETF expectations: If approved, it will bring huge incremental funds.
5. Market structure: The price has broken through 200, forming an upward pattern, and if it maintains strength, the possibility of reaching 300–500 is quite high.
Four, comprehensive judgment
Short-term: Bullish, target 260–350, but need to guard against falling below 174.
Mid-term: Likely in the 300–400 range, if ETF promotion and institutional support occur, reaching 500 is not difficult
Long-term: Steady growth trend, reasonable range 500–1000; if the ecosystem truly becomes a global mainstream public chain, it has a chance to challenge 1500–2000
Five, main risk points
Overall market correction: If BTC or ETH significantly declines, SOL is hard to stand alone.
Regulatory uncertainty: Further delays in ETF or negative regulatory news.
Technical risk: Historical network congestion has occurred, if it breaks out again, it may undermine confidence.
Hot risk: Over-speculation in meme coins may bring short-term bubbles and high volatility.
Six, long-term strategy
Support: 155, 174, 185
Resistance: 213, 263, 295
Positive: Build in batches of 155-180
Stop loss: below 150
Target: 260-290-500
Reverse: 213-235 batch positions, increase after confirmation
Stop loss: 250
Target: 175-155
Leverage 5 times: 2 times position, 3 times confirmation, 4 times increase, 5 times full position
SOL has the potential to be the 'next-generation public chain leader', with institutional support, ecosystem, and technical aspects all backing its long-term growth. However, as a high-volatility asset, it needs to be combined with risk management, especially paying attention to BTC trends and regulatory developments.