$SUI shows improving short-term momentum but remains capped by the 1H MA99; wait for a volume-confirmed 1H close above 3.58–3.60 for conviction, or consider measured buys on rejection near 3.36–3.40 with SL 3.10. Partial profit at 3.85, extend to 4.20 if momentum and volume persist. Monitor scheduled unlocks/vesting and CEX inflows closely — they are the main short-term risk signals.