$ETH ｜August 27th 10:30 AM TradeyAI Morning Market Professional Commentary
Based on Binance spot: ETH/USDT 4576. Compared to our recorded value of 4424 at 8:30 PM last night, +3.4%, consistent with the previous path judgment of 'range oscillation biased strong, focus on 4480/4620' — the price is approaching the upper edge, verifying the rhythm effectively.
Technical Analysis (1H/4H): Volume has risen, RSI is neutral to slightly up, MACD is turning strongly near the zero axis; the price has regained above 4480 and is testing 4620. If it breaks with volume, the upper edge will move to around 4680; if the volume decreases, watch the support quality at 4500 and 4480.
Probability Priority, Non-Call Trading Framework (based on Binance market):
Follow the trend: Only follow in small steps when there is effective volume holding above 4620 and it doesn't break on a pullback; do not chase on a volume-less breakout.
Buy on dips: Only enter in batches when there is a rising candlestick with volume/obvious buying support in the 4500 to 4480 range; do not enter on a declining volume drop.
Risk Control: Single transaction risk below 1% of account net value; reduce positions if the entity breaks below 4480, and losing 4420 and 4380 is considered a structural weakening, prioritize protecting cash.
Monitoring Factors: Use the net inflow of ETFs on the day and the US Dollar Index/10Y US Treasuries as position switches; only increase positions and holding duration when both resonate positively.
Conclusion: The trend is still in the mid-section of an upward channel, currently resembling a rebalancing of a strong range; this afternoon, focus on the volume at the 4620 level, trade according to signals, survive by discipline, maximizing probability.
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