“After NMR skyrocketed by 119%, are you still chasing the highs? The three major VPVR gaps tell you: Is above 17.3 a trap or a springboard!”

【Summary in One Sentence】

NMR has doubled in price within 24 hours, exiting the upper edge of the 70% value zone at 16.62, with an RSI of 88 entering historical extremes, contract positions surging by 350%, and buy orders still holding a 1.88 times advantage, but the funding rate of -0.008 indicates that bulls are overheating, and the short-term is on the edge of a double whammy of “sentiment peak + chip vacuum,” potentially pulling back to POC 9.81 for value return at any moment.

【Key Interval Structure】

1. Value Anchoring: POC 9.81 (2.4 million trading volume), with 8.85-9.93 above as a dense HVN band, and 7.89-8.07 below as an LVN gap.

2. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Area: 8.85-16.62, with the current price of 17.37 exceeding the upper edge by 5.7%, in a statistical overbought state.

3. The upper LVN 14.0-15.5 is a fast crossing area, with Up Volume at 100%, but the total volume is only 720,000, lacking support.

4. Momentum Verification: POC area Up/Down=14:1, with bulls absolutely dominating; HVN 11.36-11.84 Up/Down=2.5:1, still with latent buying pressure.

【Market Cycle】

In the “news-driven bull market end,” volume-price divergence + explosive positions = high probability of distribution phase, ready to switch to high-level volatility or a major drop.

【Trading Strategy】

• Aggressive Short: 17.5±0.1 (LVN lower edge resistance), stop loss at 18.0 (previous high +0.5ATR≈0.45), target POC 9.81, risk-reward ratio ≈15.7.

• Conservative Short: Wait for a break below 16.62 (VAH) and a 1-hour closing confirmation, then enter on a pullback to 16.6-16.8, stop loss at 17.1, target 11.36 (recent HVN), risk-reward ratio ≈10.2.

• Cautious Observation: If volume returns to above 16.62 and stabilizes, then abandon the short and wait for new HVN 18.5-19.4 tests.

【Risk Warning】

If the 1-hour close is above 18.2, consider it a failed breakout of the range, and bears should exit entirely; if contract positions suddenly drop >20%, also consider it a signal for bulls to close positions.

【LP Market Making Suggestions】

It is recommended to provide two-sided liquidity in the range of 11.36-12.08: this HVN has a trading volume of 2.13 million, being the recent area of concentrated long positions, and price pullbacks to this level are likely to find support; the upper LVN band of 16.62-17.5 can have its range narrowed to capture volatility return gains.

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Thanks: “Silicon-based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!

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$NMR