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Nvidia’s $35.1B Q3 Surge Marks AI Supercycle, but China Risks Loom Nvidia’s Q3 2025 financial results underscore a historic inflection point in the AI industry. With revenue surging to $35.1 billion—a 94% year-over-year increase—the company’s Data Center segment alone contributed $30.8 billion, driven by insatiable demand for AI infrastructure [5]. This growth trajectory, however, is shadowed by a critical question: Can Nvidia’s strategic agility and technological dominance offset the escalating geopolitical risks in China, a market it has long viewed as pivotal to its global ambitions? The AI Supercycle: A Tailwind of Unprecedented Scale Nvidia’s success in 2025 is rooted in its leadership in AI supercomputing. The Blackwell architecture, with its billion-dollar-first-quarter sales, has redefined the performance benchmarks for large language models and agentic AI systems [2]. The company’s gross margin of 74.6% (GAAP) and 75.0% (non-GAAP) in Q3 highlights its pricing power, even as it navigates supply chain and regulatory headwinds [5]. The Data Center segment’s 112% year-over-year growth reflects a global shift toward AI-driven infrastructure, with applications spanning recommendation engines, autonomous systems, and enterprise analytics [4]. This demand is not merely cyclical but structural, as industries increasingly adopt AI as a core operational tool. China remains a double-edged sword for Nvidia . While the country’s AI market is projected to grow at a 30% CAGR through 2030, regulatory barriers have forced the company to adopt a fragmented strategy. The H20 chip, tailored for Chinese markets under U.S. export controls, is currently sidelined due to legal uncertainties around revenue-sharing agreements [3]. Meanwhile, the B30A—a modified Blackwell chip with 50% more performance than the H20 but reduced capabilities compared to the full Blackwell B300—represents a calculated compromise to comply with both U.S. and Chinese regulations

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Nasdaq-listed KindlyMD plans $5 billion equity offering for bitcoin treasury push KindlyMD filed a shelf registration statement with the SEC for an at-the-market equity offering program of up to $5 billion to fund its bitcoin treasury and corporate operations. The move follows its recent merger with David Bailey's Nakamoto Holdings and an initial 5,744 BTC purchase as part of a newly launched bitcoin strategy. The company plans to issue and sell shares gradually at prevailing market prices via sales agents, including TD Securities and Cantor Fitzgerald, giving it flexible capital-raising capacity over time. KindlyMD joins a wave of public firms adopting corporate crypto treasuries, echoing Strategy's bitcoin model amid growing altcoin diversification elsewhere.

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Aave Labs launches Horizon, offering institutional borrowing against tokenized RWAs Aave Labs has launched Horizon, a platform enabling institutions to borrow stablecoins like USDC, RLUSD, and GHO against tokenized U.S. Treasurys and other real-world assets. Built on a permissioned instance of Aave V3, Horizon is designed to offer capital-efficient, 24/7 borrowing infrastructure that meets institutional compliance standards while helping to unlock over $25 billion in tokenized RWA liquidity. Regulatory compliance is enforced at the token level via issuer permissioning, while Horizon's stablecoin markets remain permissionless to preserve DeFi composability, the team said. The platform's initial launch partners include Centrifuge, Superstate, Circle, RLUSD, Ant Digital Technologies, Ethena, KAIO, OpenEden, Securitize, VanEck, Hamilton Lane, WisdomTree, and Chainlink

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Bitcoin at risk of further decline amid leverage peak and 'huge' Ethereum rotation Bitcoin's recent price weakness may not be over yet, according to K33, with a leverage surge and significant rotations into Ethereum leaving the foremost cryptocurrency vulnerable to further downside in the near term. Bitcoin perp open interest has surged to a two-year high above 310,000 BTC ($34 billion), raising the risk of long-side liquidations, K33 Head of Research Vetle Lunde warned in a new report. Meanwhile, a long-term whale rotated 22,400 BTC into ETH last week, helping drive Ethereum to a new all-time high of $4,956 and flipping market momentum, with the ETH/BTC ratio jumping above 0.04 for the first time this year — fueling end-of-cycle concerns. However, "while the relationship between former ETH ATHs and BTC is concerning, we've yet to reach a situation that significantly points toward broad altcoin froth," Lunde reassured participants.

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Google Cloud is developing its own blockchain for payments Google Cloud is building a blockchain called Universal Ledger (GCUL) to serve financial institutions with programmable payments and asset management, according to its Web3 Head of Strategy Rich Widmann. The platform supports Python-based smart contracts and aims to provide a "performant, credibly neutral" layer for any financial player to use, unlike competing fintech blockchains. "Tether won't use Circle's blockchain — and Adyen probably won't use Stripe's blockchain. But any financial institution can build with GCUL," Widmann wrote on LinkedIn. GCUL is currently in private testnet and designed as a permissioned and compliance-focused "Layer 1" network. Despite being called a Layer 1, GCUL's private, permissioned design has sparked debate over whether it qualifies as a decentralized blockchain. Google Cloud previously partnered with CME Group in March to pilot GCUL for wholesale payments and tokenization use cases.

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