1. Summary

$BERA just had a strong bounce with high volume; short-term bias is positively exploring but the risk of supply (airdrop/vesting/unlocks) still exists — need continued volume to confirm.

• Current price ~2.54 USDT; key levels: support ~2.38–2.44, resistance near 2.80 (local high).

2. Analysis

Short/medium MA shows bullish momentum (MA7 ~2.44 > MA25 ~2.34) but MA99 ~2.45 is still above, meaning the structure is not yet clearly bullish; 1H RSI is very high (~86) — indicating short-term overbought. Strong volume spike on the rise indicates this move is 'hot' and may distribute if there is no continued buying pressure. Fundamentally, BERA has an airdrop/vesting schedule and has been widely listed — this is a potential supply source that needs to be monitored (unlock/inflows to CEX may create selling pressure).

3. Strategy

Entry:

  • Conservative: wait for 4H close > 2.60–2.65 with increased volume → try to buy.

  • Aggressive: lightly probe buy when 1H holds 2.38–2.44 with rejection wick and maintained volume.

Stop-loss: 2.30 (below the support area of 2.38 to avoid fakeout).

TP1 / TP2: TP1 = 2.80 (local high) — TP2 = 3.20 (stretch target). If momentum is weak, lower TP2 to 3.00 to make it more feasible.

Exit triggers: large volume moving into CEX appears, significant unlock/vesting announcements, or 4H breakdown closes < 2.30 → exit immediately.