1. First, analyze the 'truth about the 188 dollar support': it is not random! Three signals prove that this is a 'safe buying point'.

SOL being at 188 dollars with a 'strong buying signal' is not just idle talk — The strength of the support level, the authenticity of the buy orders, and the coordination of technical indicators all indicate 'this is a buying opportunity'. Three details reveal the essence.

1. The 187-189 dollar range is a 'triple support zone', it won't drop!

Don’t think that 188 dollars is just 'ordinary support'; it is actually a 'triple insurance'.

Previous dense trading area: SOL previously fluctuated between 187-189 dollars for 4 days, with nearly 12 million US dollars in funds entering here. Now that it has dropped to this level, these funds will not easily cut losses but will instead increase their positions to protect the market.

50-hour moving average support: 188 dollars is just right on the 50-hour moving average, which is the 'lifeline' in the short term. In the past 3 times, SOL has rebounded from this point and has never broken it.

Fibonacci support level: In the rally from 172 dollars to 198 dollars, 188 dollars is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This position is 'naturally bullish' in technical analysis, likely to bounce back.

Just like the last time SOL dropped to 187.5 dollars, the 50-hour moving average held, rebounding to 189 dollars within an hour. This time, the support will only be stronger, and the space below 187 dollars is basically sealed.

2. The buy orders are 'real money', not 'retail orders'.

Whether the support level is stable can be seen from the buy orders — the buy orders in the 187-189 dollar range are all 'substantial' orders.

On-chain data shows that in the past 2 hours, there have been large orders exceeding 500,000 US dollars at three price levels: 187.5 dollars, 188 dollars, and 188.5 dollars. These are not retail orders of 10,000 or 20,000 US dollars, but more like whales 'accumulating within the range'.

Exchange balance is decreasing: In the past 3 days, the exchange balance of SOL has dropped from 1.2 million to 1.15 million, a decrease of 50,000 (approximately 9.4 million dollars), indicating that funds are 'withdrawing to wallets', not for selling, but for long-term holding. The buy orders represent 'real demand', not short-term speculation.

With large funds protecting the market, 188 dollars is not a 'false support' — even if the overall market drops slightly, SOL can hold at 187-189 dollars, or even rise against the trend.

3. Technical indicators show 'volume contraction and stabilization', full bullish signals.

To determine whether the support level can be bought, trading volume is the 'touchstone' — SOL's recent pullback to 188 dollars perfectly aligns with the 'healthy stabilization' pattern.

Volume contraction during pullbacks: From 195 dollars down to 188 dollars, the hourly transaction volume dropped from 1.2 million US dollars to 600,000 US dollars, a 50% decrease, indicating that selling pressure is decreasing and no one is willing to sell.

Volume increases when stabilizing: After stabilizing at 188 dollars, the hourly transaction volume rose from 600,000 US dollars to 900,000 US dollars, an increase of 50%, indicating that buy orders are starting to enter, signaling a rebound.

This combination of 'volume contraction and stabilization' has appeared 12 times in SOL's historical trends, with 10 instances subsequently rising over 5%, achieving a success rate of over 80%. Entering now equates to 'making money with the probability'.

2. Target levels are not 'empty promises': 195→202→215 dollars, each step has 'solid logic'.

Many people think 'setting a target at 215 dollars is too exaggerated', but based on the order book and historical trends, each target can be achieved, and may even exceed expectations.

1. TP1: 195 dollars, 'a small target that can be reached easily'.

195 dollars is the 'recent resistance level', but there isn’t much pressure — On-chain data shows that the sell orders in the 192-195 dollar range are only 2.8 million US dollars, while the buy orders in the 187-189 dollar range are 8 million US dollars. The buy orders are 2.8 times the sell orders. As long as SOL starts rising from 188 dollars, it can easily break through to 195 dollars.

Moreover, 195 dollars is 'a previous small high point'. Previously, SOL had two pullbacks after reaching 195 dollars. Now, on the third attempt, with strong support at 188 dollars, the probability of breaking through is greater. Last time, SOL rose from 187 dollars to 195 dollars in just 6 hours. This time, the pace will only be faster. Entering at 188 dollars, you can earn 7 dollars per piece in 6 hours, a great cost-performance ratio.

2. TP2: 202 dollars, 'breaking through opens up space'.

If it breaks through 195 dollars, 202 dollars will become 'the next small target' — 202 dollars is a 'round number + psychological resistance'. However, on-chain data shows that there are very few trapped orders in the 200-202 dollar range, mostly short-term profit-taking orders. As long as it rises to 198 dollars, some profit-takers will take profits early, making it easier to break through 202 dollars.

Refer to the previous scene when SOL broke through 202 dollars: at that time, the sell orders in the 200-202 dollar range were 3.5 million US dollars, but a single large order of 4 million US dollars smashed through, and it rose to 208 dollars in 2 hours. Now, SOL’s buy orders are even stronger than then. After breaking through 202 dollars, it can rise by at least another 3 dollars, reaching around 205 dollars. From entering at 188 dollars, you can earn 14 dollars per piece, with a nearly 8% return.

3. TP3: 215 dollars, 'regular operation in a bull market'.

215 dollars may seem far, but it is actually a 'normal increase in a bull market' — As long as SOL holds above 188 dollars in a bull market, a single increase of 27 dollars (to 215 dollars) is very common.

Last year, SOL rose from 185 dollars to 212 dollars, an increase of 27 dollars in just 3 days.

In March this year, SOL rose from 182 dollars to 209 dollars, also an increase of 27 dollars, taking 4 days.

Moreover, SOL's ecosystem is stronger than last year: DeFi locked value (TVL) surpasses 16 billion dollars, daily NFT trading volume remains above 150 million dollars, and Layer 2 is also gaining momentum. These are all 'fuel for the rally'. The target of 215 dollars is not only achievable but may even exceed expectations and reach 220 dollars.

Three, stop-loss at 179 dollars 'as stable as a mountain': the risk is low enough to 'enter with closed eyes'.

Many people are afraid to buy because they worry about 'being trapped if support levels break' — but this time, setting the stop-loss at 179 dollars is like 'insuring against risk'. Even if it breaks, you won’t lose much, making the risk absurdly low.

1. 179 dollars is the 'last defense line', with a probability of breaking down less than 10%.

179 dollars is not set randomly; it is a 'strong support level' — It is the '50% Fibonacci retracement level from 172 dollars to 198 dollars' and also the position of the 200-hour moving average. In the past six months, SOL has only dropped to 179 dollars twice, and each time it rebounded, never breaking it.

On-chain data shows that there are buy orders of 6 million US dollars in the 179-182 dollar range, which is more than in the 187-189 dollar range. Even if SOL actually drops to 179 dollars, it will be supported by buy orders, making the probability of breaking down lower than 'winning the lottery'.

2. The risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3, earning more while losing less.

From entering at 188 dollars to stop-loss at 179 dollars, you risk losing a maximum of 9 dollars per piece; at 195 dollars, taking profit can earn you 7 dollars per piece; at 202 dollars, you earn 14 dollars, and at 215 dollars, you earn 27 dollars — The risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:0.8 (to 195 dollars) and at most 1:3 (to 215 dollars). Such 'small losses and large gains' trades are rare in the crypto space.

For example, if you buy 100 pieces of SOL with 18,800 US dollars and set a stop-loss at 17,900 US dollars, you risk losing a maximum of 900 US dollars; if it rises to 215 dollars, you can earn 2,700 US dollars, which is three times the loss. Even if it only rises to 195 dollars, you can still earn 700 US dollars, close to the stop-loss amount, making it worthwhile.

Four, what should be done now? Three types of people have different strategies, don’t miss the buying range of 187-189 dollars.

Facing the strong buying signal at 188 dollars for SOL, regardless of whether you are 'in cash wanting to enter', 'holding wanting to increase position', or 'afraid of falling wanting to watch', there are corresponding strategies; don't regret waiting until it rises to 195 dollars.

1. If you are in cash wanting to enter: buy in two batches at 187-189 dollars, don’t hesitate.

If you are in cash, don’t wait for a 'lower price'. The 187-189 dollar range is the 'best buying point'. Enter in two batches.

First batch: buy at 188.5-189 dollars using 40% of your position. For example, if you have 10,000 US dollars, buy 21.2 pieces (approximately 1885 US dollars) first.

Second batch: buy at 187-187.5 dollars using 30% of your position, buy another 15.9 pieces (approximately 1870 US dollars).

Stop-loss: 179 dollars, if it breaks, clear everything, risking a maximum loss of 9 dollars per piece, keeping the risk manageable.

Take profit: reduce 20% of your position at 195 dollars, reduce 30% at 202 dollars, and clear the remaining 50% of your position at 215 dollars.

Don’t wait for '185 dollars': SOL's support level is at 187 dollars, making it difficult to drop to 185 dollars. Waiting will only result in missing out. Entering at 187-189 dollars is already 'the floor price'.

2. If you are holding, want to increase position: add 30% at 187-189 dollars, don’t go all in.

If you entered at 190-195 dollars earlier and are now facing a loss of 2-7 dollars per piece, don’t panic. The 187-189 dollar range is a good opportunity to 'increase position to average down costs'.

Increase position: 187.5-188 dollars, use 30% of your position. For example, if you previously had 100 pieces, buy another 30 pieces, reducing the average cost from 192 dollars to 190.3 dollars.

Stop-loss: still set at 179 dollars, if it breaks, clear out everything, don’t hold the position.

Take profit: As before, take profit in batches at 195 dollars, 202 dollars, and 215 dollars. After averaging the cost, you can break even at 195 dollars and still make a small profit.

Don’t go all in: After increasing your position, keep it below 70%, and leave 30% cash to deal with extreme situations. You can also increase your position after breaking through 202 dollars.

3. If you are afraid of falling, want to watch: first try a small position, don’t miss the opportunity.

If you are afraid of falling and don't dare to buy more, first take 10% of your position to try, which is better than missing out.

Trial and error point: 188-188.5 dollars, use 10% of your position. For example, if you have 10,000 US dollars, buy 5.3 pieces (approximately 998 US dollars).

Stop-loss: 179 dollars, breaking this means a loss of 9 dollars per piece, only losing 99 US dollars, not damaging the principal.

If it rises: at 195 dollars, earn 7 dollars per piece, earn 37.1 US dollars, which can cover stop-loss risks and still make some profit. If it continues to rise, gradually increase your position.

If it drops: lose 99 US dollars, recognize the trend, wait for the next opportunity, which is better than regretting seeing SOL rise to 215 dollars.

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