As the market heats up with bold predictions, investors are split into two camps: one believes Bitcoin has entered an era of sustainable growth, while the other warns that the crash cycles arenât over yet.
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đ The Shocking Prophecy: âBitcoin Will Never See a Bear Market Againâ
David Bailey â CEO of Bitcoin Magazine and advisor to former U.S. President Donald Trump â made a bold claim:
âThere will be no Bitcoin bear market for many years. Every nation, bank, insurance company, corporation, pension fund⌠will own Bitcoin. This process has only tapped less than **0.01% of its total potential market.â
According to Bailey, the growing wave of institutional investors â from banks and pension funds to governments â will stabilize Bitcoinâs price and fuel long-term growth, effectively ending the historic â90% crashesâ of past cycles.
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âď¸ The Middle Ground: âBitcoin Will Be Like Gold After ETFsâ
Ryan McMillin â CIO of Merkle Tree Capital â compares Bitcoinâs current stage to gold after ETFs were approved in the early 2000s.
He believes Bitcoin is now financialized like gold, meaning:
⢠Extended bear markets are unlikely,
⢠Instead, investors should expect short-term corrections â golden opportunities for experienced traders.
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đŠ The Skeptics: âBear Market Will Return in 2026â
Not everyone buys the âend of bear marketsâ narrative:
⢠John Glover (CIO at Ledn) forecasts Bitcoin could hit $140,000 by late 2025, but then enter a major bear market in 2026 based on Elliott Wave theory.
⢠Kadan Stadelmann (CTO of Komodo) argues the next six months are great for accumulation, but warns Bitcoin will face a significant downturn in Q1 2026, following historical price patterns.
âIf history repeats, Bitcoinâs peak will arrive in Q1 2026, followed by a deep market decline.â â Stadelmann
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đ Will Institutions Change the Game Forever?
Despite the debate, experts agree on one thing: institutional adoption is reshaping Bitcoinâs future.
⢠Capital inflows from banks, pension funds, and governments could reduce extreme volatility.
⢠Financialization is turning Bitcoin into a global financial asset, much like gold.
⢠This may enable longer, more stable bull runs, though sudden corrections remain inevitable.
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â The Big Questions for Investors
⢠Has Bitcoin truly outgrown the bear market cycle?
⢠Or is this just a âgolden dreamâ before a brutal 2026 downturn?
⢠Should investors side with âSustainable Growthâ or âHistory Repeats Itselfâ?
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đ Conclusion: Bitcoin stands at a crossroads. Optimists see a bright future powered by institutional adoption. Skeptics argue the laws of the market have never disappeared.
đ What do you think? Has Bitcoin left bear markets behind forever, or will 2026 mark another crypto winter?
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