🌳 Introduction: Why is TREE Making Waves on Binance?
Amid the wave of decentralized finance (DeFi) sweeping the cryptocurrency market, Treehouse protocol's native token TREE has quickly emerged due to its innovative fixed-income solutions. Since its launch on Binance in July 2025, the price fluctuations of TREE have attracted significant attention from investors, driven by the complex interplay of the Binance HODLer airdrop event, protocol ecosystem development, and market sentiment. This article will delve into TREE's technical analysis, price predictions, and market dynamics on the Binance platform, offering unique perspectives and the latest insights to reveal the potential and risks of this emerging token.



I. TREE and the Treehouse Protocol: Redefining DeFi Yields


What is TREE?

Treehouse (TREE) is the native token of the Treehouse protocol, aiming to build a decentralized fixed-income layer for DeFi. Its core innovations include tAssets (real-time yield tokens) and decentralized offered rates (DOR), providing users with stable income tools similar to traditional financial bonds. The TREE token plays multiple roles in the ecosystem, including governance, staking, and fee payment, designed to incentivize community participation and enhance institutional trust.


Why Choose Binance Platform?

As the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance offers comprehensive support for TREE, including spot, leveraged, and futures trading, while also boosting market enthusiasm through the HODLer airdrop event (starting July 29, 2025). The airdrop is conducted in two phases:



  • Phase One (18 hours): Users holding 233 Binance Alpha points can participate.


  • Phase Two (6 hours): The points threshold is lowered to 200, distributed on a first-come, first-served basis, and if not fully allocated, it decreases by 15 points per hour.


This mechanism not only stimulates short-term trading volume (with 24-hour trading volume once reaching 374 million) but also brings broad liquidity to TREE, while simultaneously causing significant price volatility.


Market Status Overview

As of August 26, 2025, the price of TREE is 0.359, with a 24-hour decline of 2.17%, and a total market capitalization of approximately 359 million (based on a circulating supply of 178.5 million tokens). The maximum supply is 1 billion tokens, with the current circulating amount accounting for only 18.6%. The remaining tokens will be gradually unlocked over the next 48 months.




1. Short-Term Trend Analysis (4 Hours, 1 Day)

According to Binance's technical analysis data, TREE is currently in a neutral to bearish range, with key resistance at 0.60-0.64 and support at 0.55; if it breaks below, it may further test 0.50.



  • Moving Averages (MA): The 10-day and 20-day SMA have not yet formed a golden cross, indicating insufficient buying momentum in the short term.


  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 54.5, in the neutral zone, but has recently rebounded from the oversold area, suggesting a potential short-term recovery.


  • MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram shows negative values (-0.0029), indicating a bearish short-term trend, but the shrinking negative value may signal a reversal.


  • Trading Volume: The 24-hour trading volume is 8.29 million, a significant decline from the initial listing volume of 311 million, indicating that speculative selling pressure has eased.


2. Mid-Term Trends (1 Week, 1 Month)



  • Bollinger Bands: The TREE price is close to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an oversold condition, which may provide opportunities for a short-term rebound.


  • Fibonacci Retracement: The current price of 0.359 tests the 23.6% retracement level (0.371). If it breaks through, it may target the 127.2% extension level (0.432); if it fails, it may drop to the 78.6% support level (0.303).


  • Key Observations: Market capital inflows provide short-term support for TREE, and moving averages are about to form a golden cross, suggesting potential upward momentum.


3. Long-Term Trends (2025-2030)



  • Historical High: The historical highest price of TREE is 0.80, and the current price is about 55% lower than the ATH.


  • Long-Term Forecast: TREE may reach 0.617 by 2026 and is expected to rise to 0.75-1.00 by 2030, with optimistic predictions even reaching 1.99 by 2050.


  • Key Driving Factors:


    • Ecosystem Adoption: If Treehouse's tAssets and DOR can expand in Layer-2 networks, it will significantly enhance TREE demand.


    • Unlocking Pressure: 82.5% of tokens will gradually unlock before 2029, potentially bringing long-term selling pressure.



III. Price Predictions: Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Potential


1. Short-Term Forecast (September-December 2025)



  • Bullish Scenario: TREE may rebound to 0.76, or even challenge 1.


  • Bearish Scenario: If short-selling pressure persists, the price may drop to 0.30.


  • Influencing Factors:


    • Airdrop Selling Pressure: 25 million airdropped tokens triggered a 41% price drop after listing, and may still bring selling pressure in the short term.


    • Trading Volume Trend: High trading volume accompanying price drops indicates strong selling pressure, but the recent decline in trading volume may create conditions for price stabilization.


2. Mid-Term Forecast (2026-2027)



  • Price Range: 0.70-1.18.


  • Driving Factors:


    • Protocol Expansion: Treehouse plans to launch derivatives (such as Forward Rate Agreements - FRA) to support institutional and DeFi-native use cases, potentially driving TREE demand.


    • Competitive Landscape: Treehouse has a differentiated advantage with support from Binance Labs.


3. Long-Term Forecast (2030-2032)



  • Optimistic Prediction: TREE may break through 3.28 (2032 average prediction), with a peak of 4.67 (2033).


  • Pessimistic Prediction: If the market does not meet expectations or if unlocked tokens trigger selling, the price may fluctuate between 0.48-1.00.


  • Key Variables:


    • Market Sentiment: Some users predict a price of 10-25 by 2030, but lack data support.


    • Macroeconomic Environment: Regulatory policies, DeFi market growth, and overall volatility will significantly impact TREE's long-term performance.



IV. Binance Platform Dynamics: Unique Opportunities and Risks for TREE


1. Binance's Driving Force



  • Airdrop Activity: Binance's HODLer airdrop attracted significant user participation but also led to short-term selling pressure. After the event ends (October 27, 2025), the market may enter a stabilization period.


  • Multi-Dimensional Trading Support: Binance offers spot, leveraged, and futures trading, enhancing TREE's liquidity but also amplifying price volatility risk.


  • Community Enthusiasm: Community members emphasize TREE's innovation in the fixed income space, calling it 'the simplifier of Web3 passive income.'


2. Risk Warnings



  • Speculative Volatility: TREE is labeled as an 'experimental asset,' and its high-risk label may suppress some institutional interest.


  • Potential Fraud Warnings: Some users warn that TREE may pose risks, advising investors to be cautious and conduct thorough research (DYOR).


  • Unlocking Pressure: The token unlocking over the next 48 months may lead to increased supply, suppressing price increases.


3. Investment Strategy Recommendations



  • Short-Term Traders: Focus on the 0.55 support level; if it breaks, observe; breaking 0.64 may consider short-term buying, targeting 0.76.


  • Long-Term Investors: Pay attention to the ecological progress of the Treehouse protocol, accumulating positions in price lows (0.30-0.40).


  • Risk Management: Set stop-loss points (e.g., 0.30) to avoid significant losses due to market volatility.



V. Unique Value and Future Outlook of TREE


1. Innovation Highlights

Treehouse fills the gap in the DeFi fixed-income space with tAssets and DOR, providing stable income tools similar to traditional finance. This innovation allows it to stand out in the high-risk yield farming market. Some even refer to TREE as 'the cryptocurrency that gives back to the Earth' as part of its funding is used to support reforestation projects, combining environmental protection with DeFi narrative, adding unique appeal.


2. Market Competition and Differentiation

Compared to mature protocols, Treehouse's DOR benchmark and support from Binance Labs provide it with a competitive advantage. However, its success relies on the actual adoption rate of the ecosystem and user acceptance of fixed-income products.


3. New Developments and Outlook



  • Layer-2 Expansion: Treehouse plans to extend tAssets to more networks, potentially reducing transaction costs and attracting more users.


  • Derivatives Market: The introduction of derivatives such as FRA will provide institutional investors with more options, potentially increasing the governance demand for TREE.


  • Community Governance: TREE's decentralized governance mechanism empowers token holders, potentially enhancing the confidence of long-term holders.



VI. Summary: Opportunities and Challenges for TREE


TREE (as the core asset of the Treehouse protocol) demonstrates significant growth potential due to its innovation in the DeFi fixed income space and strong support from the Binance platform. However, short-term airdrop selling pressure, token unlocking risks, and market volatility cast shadows over its price trajectory. Technical analysis indicates that TREE may oscillate within the 0.30-0.76 range in the short term, but the long-term outlook (2030-2032) remains attractive, driven by protocol adoption and market sentiment.

$TREE @Treehouse Official #treehouse