📉 APT/USDT – bounce or drop?

Price: $4.223 (-9.20%)

24-hour Range: $4.660 ↔ $4.200

Volume: 7.62M APT / 33.50M USDT

EMA: Price below EMA(7) $4.398, EMA(25) $4.518 and EMA(99) $4.580 → bearish trend.

MACD: Bearish cross, momentum still down.

RSI: RSI(14) = 30.9, RSI(7) = 16.3 → oversold, hinting at a possible bounce.

Stochastic RSI: At zero → also confirms strong oversold conditions.

📊 Possible Scenarios

✅ Main (probability ~65%)

The price might test the zone $4.10–4.00 (key support). If it holds — a technical bounce is likely:

🎯First Target: $4.35 (+3%)

🎯Second Target: $4.50 (+6.5%)

But the upward momentum is limited as long as the price is below $4.60 (EMA zone).

⚠️ Alternative (probability ~35%)

If selling volumes remain and the $4.00 support does not hold, the decline may continue:

Support 1: $3.85 (-9%)

Support 2: $3.70 (-13%)

📌 Conclusion:

APT is currently under pressure from bears, but indicators suggest strong oversold conditions. A bounce can be expected in the short term, but there is no confident reversal yet — a breakout and hold above $4.60 is needed for that.