Are you also stuck in this contract dilemma?
Staring at a bunch of complex indicators like MACD and RSI, the more you look, the more confused you become, and you end up placing orders based on your feelings;
They trade more than ten times a day, get carried away when they make a little money, panic when they lose money, and even when their mentality explodes, they still endure it;
Staying up late to watch the market until the early morning, my eyes are red and my body is exhausted, but my account does not see any increase, instead I lose more and more.
Actually, making money in cryptocurrency futures doesn't have to be that tiring! We're a bunch of lazy people who don't like to bother. We rely on a simple strategy to maintain a winning rate of over 95%. It only takes 10 minutes a day, and it requires neither brainpower nor energy.
Why is the “stupid method” more stable than the “smart method”?
In cryptocurrency contracts, 90% of people lose because they are “too smart”:
Always want to accurately catch the top and bottom, but end up buying halfway up the mountain and getting stuck at the top;
Obsessed with high-frequency trading, thinking that "the more you trade, the more money you can make," only to be repeatedly reaped by fees and market fluctuations;
After looking at a bunch of indicator analyses, you will be led astray by your emotions, and will be reluctant to stop losses when you should, and will be greedy when you should take profits.
The "stupid method" we use avoids these pitfalls:
Don’t guess the market direction, just follow the trend;
Do not chase rising and falling prices, enter the market only when clear signals appear;
Don’t look at complex indicators, just focus on 1 moving average;
Just spend 10 minutes a day, no need to burn the midnight oil.
Nanny-level operation steps (recommended collection! You can get started by following them)
The core of this strategy is "simplifying rules and strengthening discipline", and even novices who are new to contracts can learn it quickly.
1. Focus on only one indicator: EMA (reject indicator confusion)
Only set 2 lines: EMA21 (short-term trend line) + EMA55 (medium- and long-term trend line), and turn off all other indicators!
Core logic: The "cross" of EMA21 and EMA55 is the signal of the market direction - a golden cross (EMA21 crosses EMA55) indicates that the trend is strengthening and it is suitable for long positions; a dead cross (EMA21 crosses EMA55) indicates that the trend is weakening and it is suitable for short positions.
Key reminder: Don’t be greedy and add other indicators! The more indicators you have, the more interference there is, and the more likely you are to make mistakes in your judgment.
2. Enter the market only at two key levels (avoid swing traps)
Look at the large-cycle K-line: only focus on the 4-hour level K-line (small-cycle fluctuations are too chaotic and easy to be deceived by the main force);
Long order entry signal: EMA21 crosses EMA55 (forming a golden cross) + the 4-hour K-line closes as a bullish candlestick (confirming a stable trend). At this time, open a long order.
Short order entry signal: EMA21 crosses below EMA55 (forming a death cross) + the 4-hour K-line closes as a negative line (confirming a weakening trend). Open a short order at this time.
Absolutely don't touch: Do not open a position when the two moving averages are "entangled and oscillating" (for example, EMA21 and EMA55 repeatedly cross each other) to avoid being slapped in the face back and forth.
3. Stop-loss is a must: to protect the principal in order to continue to make money
Stop-loss position: Set it at the high or low point of the previous 4-hour candlestick chart. For long positions, set the stop-loss at the previous candlestick's lowest point; for short positions, set the stop-loss at the previous candlestick's highest point.
Risk Control: The loss on each order must not exceed 5% of the principal (e.g., for a 1000U principal, the maximum loss on a single order is 50U);
The iron rule: Exit the market automatically when the stop-loss price is reached. Don't hold onto orders or rely on luck! Stop-loss isn't about losing money; it's about preserving your capital and waiting for the next opportunity.
4. “Rolling” strategy: Let profits follow the trend
This step is the key to "turning small profits into big profits", but you must strictly follow the rules:
Light first position: only use 5% of the funds to open a position for the first time (for example, if the principal is 1000U, only invest 50U in the first position);
Add more funds after making a profit: When the profit of the first position reaches 5% (50U earns 2.5U), add another 5% of funds; when the profit reaches another 5%, add another 5%, and so on;
Take-profit signal: When the EMA crosses again (from a golden cross to a dead cross, or vice versa), indicating a trend reversal, immediately take all profits and exit the market;
Advantages: You can use a light position to protect the bottom position profit, and amplify the profit when the trend continues, without wasting any wave of market.
3 mindset reminders: "Discipline" is more important than skills
The key to making money with this strategy is not “how accurate the indicators are”, but “whether you can stick to it”:
It is better to miss out than to make a mistake: Don’t open a position before waiting for a clear signal. Even if you miss a small market trend, it is better than blindly entering the market and losing your principal.
Limit trading to 1-2 times a day: Avoid frequent trading. Contracts earn you money from trends, not commissions.
Trust the system, not your feelings: Even if a signal doesn’t make money on a certain occasion, don’t change the rules easily - short-term fluctuations may be accidental, but if you follow the rules in the long run, the winning rate will definitely be on your side.
Final summary:
The "dumb method" isn't foolish; it's about transforming complex cryptocurrency contracts into simple, standardized, and disciplined operations. It's not suitable for gamblers looking to "get rich quick," but it's particularly suited for those who prefer steady profits without the need for late nights or emotional overload.
If you also feel that watching the market all day is too tiring, learning indicators is too annoying, and you always lose money, you might as well try this "lazy strategy" - less "smart greed" and more "stupid discipline", which can help you move more steadily in the contract and make money longer.
