1.8 million BNB burn is imminent! Q4 target price $2500-3300, ecological data and Bitcoin trends determine the outcome
The core momentum of BNB's price comes from the dual drive of Binance's quarterly buyback and burn mechanism and ecological expansion. It is expected that a total of 1.8 million BNB will be burned throughout 2025, with an annual deflation rate of 2.5%, coupled with a circulating supply dropping to a historical low of 145 million, continuously tightening supply builds a solid foundation for the coin price. At the same time, the BNB Chain ecosystem is experiencing explosive growth: the on-chain stablecoin market cap has surpassed $10.5 billion (a quarterly increase of 49.6%), DEX trading volume has hit new highs, and the Launchpad new project activities have attracted over 10 million BNB staked, exacerbating liquidity scarcity. Technological upgrades (such as Maxwell improving transaction efficiency) further consolidate its competitiveness as a public chain. If Bitcoin continues its bull market and breaks previous highs in Q4, BNB, as a mainstream platform coin, will benefit simultaneously.
Based on institutional forecasts and market dynamics, the post-buyback BNB price in Q4 will present three tiers: the baseline expectation of $2,500–3,000 (requiring ecological demand and stable Bitcoin trends to support it), an optimistic scenario that could reach $3,300 (relying on technological breakthroughs and continuous inflow of funds), and a conservative scenario falling back to $1,500–2,000 (due to regulatory risks or competitive diversion). In the short term, caution is needed regarding the technical support level of $850 and the substitution pressure from public chains like Solana. Investors are advised to focus on three key points: market feedback after the September burn volume announcement, quarterly on-chain activity data of BNB Chain, and whether Bitcoin can hold the $120,000 mark. The dynamic balance between deflationary dividends and external risks will become the core of Q4 investment decisions. $BNB
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