In the process of constantly breaking historical highs and short-term corrections, Bitcoin is showing unprecedented maturity 📉. The latest data shows its 30-day actual volatility has fallen to the lowest level in nearly five years, even lower than some Wall Street blue-chip stocks, including Nvidia.
This means that the price predictability of Bitcoin has surpassed that of global tech stock stars. For an asset that has always been labeled as 'highly volatile', this shift is particularly monumental.
📊 Since 2022, Bitcoin's volatility has repeatedly fallen below that of large tech stocks. Amid the severe fluctuations in the U.S. tech sector from 2023 to 2024, Bitcoin has instead shown greater stability. Macro analyst Lyn Alden points out that this Bitcoin cycle may be 'more prolonged and gentler', entering a consolidation phase after rising, rather than the previous 'sharp rises and falls'.
Behind this change is the driving force of mainstream financial power. At the beginning of 2024, the launch of spot ETFs in the United States provided retail and institutional investors with a compliant and convenient channel for Bitcoin allocation. The participation of giants like BlackRock and Fidelity not only enhanced liquidity but also, in an invisible way, reduced the drastic price fluctuations.
At the same time, U.S. regulatory policies are further loosening, allowing investors to include Bitcoin in 401k retirement accounts. Long-term funds such as pension funds, endowment funds, and insurance companies are gradually entering the market, making the market structure more rational, and the impact of short-term speculation on prices is continuously weakening.
🔎 From a macro perspective, the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market is increasing; it is no longer an isolated speculative target but is gradually integrating into the global asset allocation system. Although this process differs from its original ideals, it signifies that Bitcoin is being truly accepted by the mainstream financial world.
For investors, a decrease in volatility = reduced risk + a smoother investment experience. Bitcoin is transitioning from its 'rebellious adolescence' to maturity, gradually becoming an important part of the global capital markets. 💡
At mlion.ai, we will continue to track the deep dynamics of Bitcoin and the market, providing investors with professional insights through AI-driven market predictions, on-chain data analysis, and research report interpretations.
👉 mlion.ai