$ETH ETH｜August 25th 10:30 TradeyAI Market Professional Commentary

As of 10:30 Beijing time, Binance spot ETH/USDT is quoted at $4,770.95; 24-hour high is $4,953.73, low is $4,714.47, with a transaction amount of about $48.6 billion. Slightly down from yesterday morning (≈4,78x), still in the upper half of the high-level consolidation range, just a step away from the previous high.

Compared to the previous conclusion: We stated yesterday that 'a significant volume above the upper edge indicates a strengthening'; although the current price has not moved much, it has not yet formed a sustained long bullish candle, and the range fluctuation logic remains valid.

Policy/Macro: After Jackson Hole, Powell's tone is dovish, and the market has raised bets on a rate cut in September, the dollar weakens, and risk appetite rebounds—this is favorable for crypto assets, but the path still relies on data.

Funding/News: The spot Ether ETF has recently maintained an alternating net inflow/outflow, but the cumulative volume is considerable, with marginal funds still at play; the trading platform's Ether balance has dropped to a multi-year low, the supply side is tight, providing medium-term price elasticity support.

Project Fundamentals: Pectra (May) has been implemented, introducing EIP-7702 and other account abstraction capabilities and validator parameter optimizations, improving usability and capital efficiency, strengthening the mid-term narrative, but also introducing new safety margin considerations.

Technical Structure (Multidimensional Synthesis)

* Resistance: 4,850 → 4,900 (only confirmed as strengthened if a long bullish candle with volume breaks and stabilizes above);

* Support: 4,700 / 4,620 / 4,500 (three progressive levels; falling below 4,500 may easily turn weak);

* Rhythm: RSI/Momentum neutral to strong, but direction needs volume backing.

Execution prioritized by win rate (not just shouting orders)

* Plan A｜Follow through after confirmation: Only follow up after a 15–30 minute stabilization above 4,850 with volume; if it falls back heavily below 4,820, withdraw trial positions.

* Plan B｜Retracement support: Test in batches when nearing 4,700–4,620 with decreased volume to stop the drop/long lower shadow; strict stop loss if it falls below 4,600.

* Plan C｜Weak volume observation: If volume weakens and price repeatedly stays below 4,700, prioritize staying out and wait for secondary signals.

In summary: The structure is intact, funds are present, but 'volume' is the referee—first ensure the win rate, then discuss expansion.

Entrust the win rate to data and discipline—focus on TradeyAI, real-time synchronization of entry and exit points and risk control levels.