$SUI SUI｜August 25 09:00 TradeyAI Market Professional Commentary

The real-time quote for SUI is currently at $3.62; the contract side is near the 24-hour range with a high of 3.5875 / low of 3.3792, and a trading volume of approximately 224 million SUI, with pricing basically synchronized with the spot market, indicating that the market is still in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within a range.

Compared to last night/yesterday

Last night at 19:20, it once fell back to around 3.62; yesterday morning it approached the upper range of 3.78 to 3.80 but fell back after not breaking out with increased volume, and the current price has returned to near the center, validating our framework of "the upper range needs increased volume, and the lower range of 3.60 to 3.62 is a confirmation zone for a pullback."

Multi-dimensional data support

On-chain: Sui's total value locked (TVL) remains at around $2 to $2.1 billion, with DEX trading volume maintained at several hundred million dollars over 24 hours, on-chain fees are stable, and the capital accumulation and turnover have not significantly decreased, providing a medium-term "base" for prices.

Policy front: The EU’s MiCA registration and implementation rhythm is advancing, with the compliance framework continuing to roll out, marginally benefiting medium-term risk appetite, but short-term impacts are more about sentiment rather than immediate price boosts.

Technical structure (4-hour, combined with Binance price levels)

Support: 3.60 to 3.62 (a pullback that does not break = the premise for re-testing the upper range of the box); if lost, look for 3.48 to 3.50.

Resistance: 3.75 to 3.80 (needs to stabilize with increased volume to open up the extension to 3.90→4.00).

Indicator side: Volume-price coordination is still key; before seeing effective increased volume, the tendency is for "strong oscillation" rather than trend acceleration.

Operational suggestions:

Confirmation to go long: If approaching 3.60 to 3.62 shows reduced volume without breaking → subsequent increased volume bullish candlestick to enter lightly (30 to 40%); if it effectively stabilizes above 3.80, further increase positions, target 3.90→4.00, unified stop loss at 3.58.

Weak rebound to short: If the rebound to 3.75 to 3.80 shows obvious lack of volume and stagnation → lightly short to look back at 3.65 to 3.62; once strong increased volume stabilizes at 3.80, immediately stop loss to avoid being caught in a reversal.

Positioning and discipline: Do not heavily position before breaking the range; strictly execute "confirmation to increase positions / stop loss when breaking", using data and discipline to improve win rate.

Entrust the win rate to data and discipline — Focus on TradeyAI, with real-time synchronization of entry and exit points and risk control levels.