Recently, seasoned players in the crypto circle have been passing down a saying: 'If BTC doesn't crash, altcoins will be the first to go.' It sounds eerie, but it's the most painful truth of the 2025 bull market. Today, with bloody examples, I'll break down three counterintuitive rules for you to understand and avoid losing a million!

Rule One: When BTC holds, altcoins are quietly sending money.

Retail investors' major pitfall zones

When BTC stubbornly holds the 120,000 mark, altcoins drop like kites with severed strings. This isn't a mystery; it's the main funds playing 'openly building the road while secretly crossing the river':

Capital Black Hole: Institutions use BTC as a shield while secretly draining funds from altcoins. Data from July shows that the daily capital outflow from altcoins is three times that of BTC!

Emotional Weapon: When retail investors see BTC isn't falling, they frantically increase their altcoin positions. As a result, project teams take the opportunity to offload, with over half of the MEME coins on the SOL chain disappearing within 30 days.

👉 When BTC is consolidating, control altcoin positions within 15%

👉 Only engage with 'hardcore altcoins' with a daily trading volume exceeding 500 million

👉 Cut losses immediately if it breaks the 10-day moving average; don't fantasize about a rebound

Rule Two: On BTC's dip days, altcoins can stage a comeback

History is eerily similar: In the week when BTC plummeted 45% in 2021, RWA track altcoins surged 67%! This time it's your turn:

Mysterious Signal: When BTC's weekly RSI drops below 40, and altcoins stabilize above the 200-day moving average, the probability of market reversal is 78%.

New Track Emerges: The AI + DePIN combo hits traditional tracks hard. For example, the RNDR protocol, which rose 33% while Bitcoin fell 12%, attracted 1.2 billion in a single week.

Strategy:

👉 Prepare 30% cash for when BTC breaks down

👉 When breaking through key resistance levels, take 30% position to chase the rise + 40% position to buy the dip

👉 Focus on laying out three pillars: Layer2, RWA, and AI infrastructure

Rule Three: During cycle transitions, the barbell strategy is the most resilient

🤑 Institutions' Private Strategies

Splitting funds into two sides for betting is the ultimate password to navigate bull and bear markets:

Left-side allocation: 80% BTC + stablecoin investments (annualized 12% passive earnings)

Right-side assault: 20% heavy positions in altcoin tracks:

L1 Leaders (SOL, SUI)

Layer2 leaders (MATIC, ARB)

RWA Protocols (ONDO, MKR)

AI Computing Tokens (RNDR, TAO)

Life-saving bottom card: When net inflows to exchanges exceed 500 million, immediately reduce positions by 50%

When BTC surged to 123,000 in July, seasoned traders used this trick:

50% switch to USDC to earn interest

30% of ETH is accumulated at the bottom during sideways consolidation

Keep 20% to wait for the altcoin season explosion

As a result, in August BTC consolidated, while altcoins surged, leading to a 30% recovery in the account!

'The bull market in 2025 is destined to be a harvesting machine for old players, a battlefield for new investors. Remember these three iron rules:

1️⃣ As long as BTC doesn't break 120,000, altcoins are just illusions

2️⃣ Major players' dip days are when altcoins can change their fate

3️⃣ Reject all-in bets; a barbell strategy is the survival path for retail investors!

Do the altcoins you hold meet these three rules?

Follow the wheat, and avoid 90% of the pitfalls on the road to a bull market!#比特币预测