September Market Vibes: Bull Run or Trap?
#JeromePowell’s Jackson Hole speech did shake markets. He hinted at the #Fed being open to a rate cut in September, and that instantly flipped sentiment. Futures traders are now pricing in a ~70% probability of a cut, which explains the sudden shift from “fear” to “greed” in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
On top of that, ETF inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum have picked up again after weeks of cooling. That’s a clear signal that institutions are dipping back in, which always amplifies retail hype.
But, September has historically been one of the weakest months for crypto. Data from past cycles shows BTC often sees drawdowns in September before Q4 rallies kick in. Add to that: whales moving funds between wallets and exchanges (on-chain trackers have flagged big transfers), and you’ve got the perfect recipe for shakeouts.
My view:
A Fed rate cut = bullish catalyst (liquidity boost).
But September = choppy, trap-heavy month.
Smart money stacks spot positions and avoids chasing over-leveraged setups.
So yeah, September could set the stage for a bullish Q4, but don’t expect a clean, straight-line pump. Patience > FOMO.
