1. Summary

$XRP is currently "dueling" at $3.05, clinging to support at $3.00, glaring at resistance at $3.13 like it's the "final battle". Major drama: The SEC lawsuit concludes (light fine of $125M), ETF buzz explodes, and institutional money flows in, but whale flows "dumping" onto CEX (15M XRP last week) make the price shaky. Volume is the "savior" deciding whether XRP soars or plummets!

2. Technical Analysis

  • Technical: XRP has just surged strongly with "screaming" volume, pushing the price up to $3.05. MA7 (~$3.03) is a "shield" support, RSI 1H ~60 (still has "fuel" but not overbought). Breakout requires 1H close >$3.13–$3.15 with volume shooting up (>40% MA20). Support then take profit at $2.93–$3.00; losing this zone means "disaster", plunging straight to $2.78. Distant resistance at $3.35 is the "Everest summit" to conquer.

  • Basics: SEC ruling (August 2025) removes legal "shackles": fined $125M, no ban on selling organizations. Ripple launches $500M fund for XRP Ledger DeFi, attracting Grayscale and BlackRock (ETF filing, 75% approval probability). RippleNet integrates 350+ banks, rumors of USD-backed stablecoin (Q1 2026) heating up FOMO. However, whale flows of 15M XRP to Binance/Coinbase and unlocking 20M XRP (December 2025) is a "bomb" to avoid.

  • Sentiment: ETF hype and SEC win make traders "fired up" with FOMO, but whale dump causes panic among the crowd. Weak volume is a "warning signal"; breakout lacking volume can easily become a bull trap, and unconfirmed pullbacks are a "black hole" swallowing capital.

3. Trading Strategy

  • Entry:

    • Scenario A (Breakout): "Unleash" when 1H close >$3.13–$3.15, volume surges (>40% MA20). Use limit orders to avoid "getting chopped" by slippage.

    • Scenario B (Pullback): "Watch" to buy ladder at $2.93–$3.00 (MA support zone) if there’s wick rejection + 1H reversal candle (like bullish engulfing). Add position at $2.78 if the price "drops flat".

  • Stop-loss (mandatory): Breakout SL = $2.90; Pullback SL = $2.70.

  • Take-profit: TP1: $3.13–$3.25 (take 60% at near resistance); TP2: $3.35–$3.50 (target "fly high", scale out gradually).

  • Exit triggers: Large whale flows to CEX, news of ETF delay, or RSI >75 alongside "fading" volume → "escape" immediately. Use probe/limit orders to "save your skin".