The clearest answer yet to the question every trader is asking: Is the Bull Market Top already in? 1 / Every cycle looks different, but the emotions are always the same:
•Euphoria near the top •Panic near the bottom The trick isn’t spotting emotions… It’s spotting the data behind them. 2 / So I pulled data from:
No predictions. Just patterns. 3 / In every cycle, the market top came with the same fingerprints:
• Retail FOMO at extremes • Altcoins outperforming majors • Liquidity flooding in from tradfi Sound familiar right now?
4 / Here’s the contrarian take:
The data doesn’t scream “final top” yet. It screams late-stage, overheated, but not finished. Most traders confuse exhaustion with collapse 5 / One key signal: Exchange inflows.
At tops, whales send coins to exchanges to sell. Right now? Inflows are still low — well below 2017/2021 top levels. That suggests distribution hasn’t peaked.
6 / Think back to 2017.
The market topped when even your taxi driver was talking about Ripple. 2021? TikTok traders were shilling Doge to their grandmas. Now? Retail is active, but not at mania levels yet.
7 / Picture the market as a marathon.
We’re not at mile 26 collapsing over the finish line. We’re somewhere between mile 20–22: tired, but still moving 8 / Alt dominance is another clue.
Historically, alts surge hard right before the peak. Today, alts are strong—but haven’t gone parabolic yet. That’s a missing piece before we call the cycle done.
9 / Liquidity is king.
And liquidity cycles don’t suggest the final squeeze has happened. There’s still juice in the system.
10 / But don’t get comfortable.
“Not at the top” doesn’t mean “safe.” Late-stage bull markets are brutal: •Rips higher •Sudden crashes •Fake tops everywhere Survival matters more than predictions. 11 / The Bull Market isn’t done — not even close. The next couple of months are set to melt faces. This run has more fuel left, and I’ll be the one to tell you the second the picture changes. Until then… stay positioned, because the best is still ahead
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