The Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates, and Dogecoin has risen. It's currently rising quite sharply, but the risks are also high. Historically, in this situation, it tends to drop afterward. If the Federal Reserve actually cuts interest rates or inflation data turns out poorly, Dogecoin could possibly turn downwards. This type of currency has no actual use and relies on people's emotions. Therefore, while it rises quickly in the short term, it can also drop quickly afterward, so one should be cautious.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut signals lead to a short-term surge in Dogecoin, with historical experience indicating potential pullback risks after a short-term rise!

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September skyrocketed to an expectation of 91% (driven by Powell's dovish remarks), which became the direct catalyst for Dogecoin's surge. Funds flowed into high-risk assets under the expectation of liquidity easing, pushing Dogecoin up 9% to $0.23 within 24 hours, significantly outpacing Bitcoin's rise. Its explosive market movement stems from three driving forces: interest rate cuts lowering dollar yields prompting leveraged funds to chase high-volatility targets; whales preemptively hoarding over 680 million DOGE triggering technical breakout signals (such as golden cross patterns); and the market frenzy narrative formed by Trump's support for cryptocurrencies and celebrity effects. As a typical meme coin, Dogecoin resonates with retail sentiment due to its low price attribute, becoming an amplifier of risk appetite in the interest rate cut cycle.

Despite strong short-term momentum, the foundation for Dogecoin's surge is weak and risks are prominent. Historical patterns show that cryptocurrencies are prone to pullbacks after surging during the 'expectation phase' of interest rate cuts (such as during the 2019 cycle). Currently, it faces three major hidden dangers: if the actual rate cut occurs in September or if the August PCE inflation data rebounds beyond expectations (with July PPI already showing resilience), it may trigger profit-taking pressure; Dogecoin lacks practical application support, and the key technical resistance level at $0.24 needs sustained volume to break through; its excessive reliance on market sentiment makes its upward momentum susceptible to Bitcoin's volatility or shifts in liquidity. Investors need to closely monitor the upcoming employment and inflation data, and be wary of severe fluctuations triggered by policy uncertainties. $DOGE

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