Interpretation of Powell's Speech and Outlook on the Cryptocurrency Market

Combining the latest statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and international tariff dynamics, the current core logic and operational opportunities in the market can be summarized as follows:

1. Core of Powell's Speech: The Federal Reserve Faces Policy Dilemma, Interest Rate Adjustments Await Observation

Powell clearly stated that the Federal Reserve is under dual pressure: on one hand, the job market is under pressure, triggering discussions on interest rate adjustments; on the other hand, inflationary pressures still exist, and the specific impact of tariff policies on prices needs to be continuously monitored, with the short-term policy direction still unclear.

2. Tariff Benefits Materialize: Inflationary Pressure May Marginally Ease

Recent news indicates that Canada has cancelled its retaliatory tariffs against the United States, and the market speculates that the Trump administration may also make corresponding concessions. This signal of “mutual tariff concessions” suggests that the tariff factors that previously drove up prices will weaken, and inflationary upward pressure is expected to ease, providing crucial support for the market.

3. Market Prediction for August 29 (Next Friday): High Probability of Welcoming a Favorable Window

Based on the core judgment of “easing inflationary pressure,” the market is highly likely to realize favorable conditions next Friday. Current news has conveyed positive signals, institutional capital confidence is gradually recovering, and leading positions have already entered the market in advance. If the market subsequently tests key support levels, institutional buying actions will further clarify the trend.

4. Short-term Operational Opportunities: Seize the “Stop-Loss Pullback Needle” After Sideways Market

The weekend market is highly likely to maintain a high-level sideways movement, during which emotional divergence signals may easily occur. According to historical trend patterns, before a market launch, there is usually a rapid decline that sweeps through short positions in the sideways range, followed by a quick pullback (i.e., “stop-loss pullback needle”). This signal will be the best time for ordinary investors to enter the market, helping to avoid the risk of “Valentine’s Day-style” market volatility (Valentine's Robbery).