After reaching a new high of over $124,000 on August 14, 2025, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, dropping to a low of $112,000. However, despite the price fluctuations of this digital asset, there are still many reasons to remain optimistic, even in a volatile market.
Bitcoin price movement on August 22
As of this writing, on August 22, BTC is trading near $113,000, after new options expired on Deribit this morning. The price of BTC has recovered after dropping to $111,000 on August 21.
Today's BTC price in USD
On August 21, Deribit stated that the six-month outlook for BTC has turned negative as the 180-day buy-sell volatility on Deribit reached -0.42, the most negative reading since June 2023, indicating that traders are paying a premium to hedge against downside risk, reversing the long-term negative sentiment after BTC dropped from recent highs.
Top reasons to remain optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory
There are many reasons to be optimistic about Bitcoin's future, including increasing global adoption, continuous accumulation by countries holding BTC reserves and companies focused on BTC, rising public debt in the United States, and the Federal Reserve's outlook on cutting interest rates, along with many other factors.
Additionally, historical data shows optimistic numbers for BTC's trajectory in Q3 and Q4 so far.
1. Increasing Bitcoin Adoption
By 2025, the adoption of Bitcoin continues to grow at a rapid pace, and this digital asset receives strong support, especially in the U.S. after Trump became president.
Many measures have been taken to support and protect the industry, such as the GENIUS Act and tighter regulatory frameworks globally for the ecosystem, which will attract more trust and investors.
A recent Bitget survey shows a strong increase in demand for cryptocurrency for holidays in Europe, reflecting a rise in use cases for the digital asset industry. This comes after Bitcoin and cryptocurrency were considered potential collateral assets in the U.S. for mortgage loans.
2. Continuing Bitcoin Accumulation
Countries like El Salvador and Bhutan have adopted Bitcoin and cryptocurrency to improve the lives of their citizens. El Salvador has continued to buy BTC since 2021, and as of August 22, this country holds over 6,276 BTC in its treasury, equivalent to more than $708 million.
El Salvador's BTC treasury
Bhutan is another developing country exploring cryptocurrency payments through Binance Pay, which could promote inclusion, enhance tourism, and drive the country's economic growth, as noted in the June post by CEO Richard Teng of the exchange.
In addition to countries continuing to buy and hold BTC, many significant companies focused on BTC such as Strategy, Metaplanet, and many others also continue to accumulate regardless of BTC price fluctuations.
For example, Strategy, previously known as MicroStrategy, holds 629,376 BTC as of August 17, 2025, worth over $71 billion, making the company the world's leading public company in terms of BTC holdings. The company began accumulating BTC in August 2020.
3. Rising U.S. Public Debt
The rising public debt of the United States is another factor contributing to the optimistic forecast for BTC. The increase in public debt means that the Federal Reserve will print more money, which translates to an influx of capital into BTC and other digital assets.
As of August 22, 2025, the public debt of the United States has surpassed $37 trillion, and this figure is expected to continue to rise over time. Forecasts suggest that public debt will reach 156% of U.S. GDP by 2055.
U.S. Public Debt Over Time
4. The Federal Reserve May Cut Interest Rates in September
It is highly likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, which could boost BTC prices. As of August 22, the probability of the Fed cutting rates from 425-450 basis points down to 400-425 basis points is over 71%.
CME Group Data
5. Historical Optimistic Returns for Q3 and Q4
History shows that Q3 and Q4 have shown optimistic returns for BTC over time. Since 2013, BTC has ended Q3 with positive growth in six years (including 2024), and currently, BTC has increased nearly 6% in Q3 2025.
According to official data, BTC has ended Q4 with growth over eight years since 2013, including in 2024 and 2023.
Quarterly BTC Returns - Coinglass Data
The Future of Bitcoin Looks Very Bright
These are just a few noteworthy reasons to maintain calm and optimism about Bitcoin and the future of the cryptocurrency market, despite the volatility and negative information in the industry. Bitcoin continues to receive strong support globally, with builders, miners, developers, and all supporters working 24/7 to maintain the security and core values of this currency, ensuring that it will have a bright future despite volatility, market manipulation, and any potential attacks.
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