😱📉 Jackson Hole = bear signal?
🎈 S&P (1982–2023):
📉 56% decline on meeting days
📈 22% growth >0.5%
🐢 35% weak growth (0–0.5%)
💥 15% strong declines (< -1.5%)
🚨 last 5 years → downward trend
💰 BTC (2017–2024):
📉 7 out of 8 times — decline after meeting (-15–20%)
🕐 even if there’s a rise initially → crash after a week
🧸 exception: 2018 (+16% immediately, but -18% after a week)
⚖️ Strategy choice:
1️⃣ 🤿🐳 Diving gear, waiting for the bottom, harpoon in hand
2️⃣ 🚀👨🚀 Spacesuit, rocket fuel tanks, 100x leverage — waiting for takeoff
