XRP Q4 Outlook: Key Chart Condition for Potential Moonshot
XRP’s price action and on-chain whale flows suggest a short-term dip may precede a strong breakout rally in Q4 2025, potentially reaching new all-time highs.
Key Takeaways
XRP recently closed below the $3 psychological level, extending a two-week correction.
A market fractal pattern on the daily chart mirrors a setup from early 2025, hinting at a bullish Q4.
Potential upside targets range from $4.35 to $4.85, representing a 60%–85% gain from current levels.
Whale flows remain negative, indicating near-term selling pressure but approaching exhaustion.
Accumulation zones likely between $2.65 and $2.33, where whales may re-enter positions.
The critical breakout level is $3.85; surpassing this could trigger price discovery and a strong rally.
Supportive macro factors like possible US interest rate cuts may sustain momentum.
Technical Analysis Details
Market Fractal Pattern
XRP’s current daily chart structure resembles January 2025’s fractal, where price rallied to $3.40 before correcting to $1.60.
The fractal suggests a similar bottoming process near a fair value gap (FVG) between $2.32 and $2.66.
Filling this FVG could mark the start of a renewed expansion phase.
Whale Flows and On-Chain Data
Large XRP holders (“whales”) have been selling but are nearing exhaustion of their distribution phase.
The 90-day moving average of whale netflows indicates a peak in selling, historically followed by accumulation.
Past whale accumulation between $2.00 and $2.50 preceded XRP’s previous rally.
A similar accumulation zone may form again around $2.65–$2.33.
Price Targets and Outlook
Short-term dip expected before reaccumulation.
Break above $3.85 is key to entering price discovery mode.
Potential rally targets:
$4.35 (initial target)
$4.85 (extended target)
Possible extension toward all-time highs if momentum sustains.
Summary
XRP’s Q4 “moonshot” depends on holding key support zones near $2.33–$2.65 and breaking above $3.85 resistance. Whale behavior and fractal chart patterns support a bullish setup, though short-term volatility and dips are likely. Macro tailwinds like interest rate cuts could further fuel the rally.
