🚨 BREAKING: Fed’s Key Indicator Flashes Red 🇺🇸
Jobless Claims just dropped a surprise:
🔹 Expected: 226K
🔹 Actual: 235K
This jump signals a cooling labor market—exactly what the Fed has been waiting for before cutting rates.
💡 What’s the trade?
📈 Bullish Case: Higher claims = stronger chance of a Fed pivot → rate cuts ahead → USD weakness → stocks & crypto rally.
📉 Bearish Case: Rising claims = recession risk → weaker earnings, lower spending → sell-off & risk-off flows → stronger USD.
⚖️ Bottom line: Markets are caught between pivot hopes and slowdown fears. Watch the 4-week average + Fed commentary for the next big move.
