According to ChainCatcher news, Coinbase Research Director David Duong stated that Coinbase Research uses stochastic models and Monte Carlo simulation methods to predict that the stablecoin market size could reach $1.2 trillion by 2028.
Future growth forecasts are typically based on assumptions regarding the potential share of stablecoins in the global money supply. The model captures the potential growth range of the market through an autoregressive model AR(1), starting from the latest observed levels and the most recent monthly growth. It simulates 20,000 Monte Carlo paths at a monthly cadence according to a simple AR(1) process, with prediction results indicating that the stablecoin market size is expected to reach $1.2 trillion by December 2028.
