Is Old Powell Going to Play Tricks Again? A Preview of the Jackson Hole Conference! Neutral? Dovish? It's All About the Data!
Friends in the crypto circle, pay attention! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference may very well become the next market trend indicator.
Reports suggest that he might maintain a highly neutral stance, emphasizing maximum flexibility for the upcoming FOMC meetings, with the policy direction completely dependent on inflation and labor market data.
📊 Key Interpretations:
1️⃣ Key Data Before the September Meeting
Before the meeting on September 17, an employment report and a CPI report will be released. The data results will directly determine the policy path.
2️⃣ Interest Rate Trends Are Completely Data-Dependent
If inflation rises significantly or the labor market shows strong recovery → The likelihood of keeping interest rates unchanged in the next meeting is the highest.
If August employment growth falls below 50,000 per month and the unemployment rate rises → There may be a dovish rate cut of 50 basis points.
⚡ Friends in the crypto circle, pay attention: This means Old Powell is playing the “data vs. market psychology” trick again. In the short term, the market may be stimulated to rise or fall, but the real operational space depends on next month's data release.
💥 Market Logic Revealed:
Neutral Stance = Neither bullish nor bearish, leaving infinite imagination for the market.
Dovish Rate Cut = May trigger short-term bullish sentiment.
Hawkish Stance = Again hit the greedy chasing funds.
💡 Key Conclusions:
1️⃣ Short-Term Wait-and-See: Don’t go heavy before Old Powell's speech; market volatility can be large.
2️⃣ Data Is Dominant: Employment and CPI data determine the next market trend.
3️⃣ Psychological Warfare Has Begun: The market may first be “lured long/short,” before facing real fluctuations.
Finally, I wish everyone who likes, saves, and follows this article can reap abundant rewards in this round of bull market!
Stay tuned: $BTC $ETH $XRP BNB DOGE SOL SUI PEPE LINK UNI BIO EPIC MAGIC ASR MOVR RAY OG LDO
