【The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in September is 81.9%】 According to Golden Finance, based on CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 18.1%, and the probability of lowering rates by 25 basis points is 81.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 8%, the cumulative probability of lowering rates by 25 basis points is 46.4%, and the cumulative probability of lowering rates by 50 basis points is 45.5%.