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Markets are adjusting their expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's significant Jackson Hole speech. The likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut is currently estimated at 71.5% by Invest, although this figure has dropped from previous highs due to rising unemployment claims. However, other analysts like Ed Yardeni from Seeking Alpha believe the probability is below 50%, driven by ongoing inflation pressures and economic resilience. Reuters suggests an even lower probability of 25%, citing robust manufacturing data that counters earlier labor market weakness signals. *Key Factors Influencing the Shift:* - *Unemployment Claims*: A recent surge in unemployment claims has shaken market confidence, leading traders to reassess their expectations for rate cuts. - *Inflation Pressures*: Persistent inflation and strong economic output are making policymakers cautious, with Yardeni believing the Fed might maintain current rates in September. - *Manufacturing Performance*: Solid PMI results indicate the economy might be stronger than expected, reducing the urgency for policy easing. *Market Outlook:* With the probability of a rate cut ranging between 25% and 70%, the focus is on Powell's upcoming speech and key data releases that could either boost or stall rate-cut momentum. Crypto traders, BTC holders, and DeFi stakeholders should closely watch these developments for potential market impacts ¹.
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My todays trade $SOON
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Woho🥳🥳🥳 #soontothemoon Good evening and very nice evening ever ❤️ $SOON
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#ETHInstitutionalFlows Considering the current market trends and Ethereum's price fluctuations, here's some guidance to help you make an informed decision: *Current Market Situation:* - Ethereum's price has dropped by 2.03% in the last 24 hours, with a current price of $4,138.83. - The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and Ethereum's price can fluctuate rapidly ¹. *Reasons to Wait:* - *Short-term uncertainty*: Analysts predict a neutral to bearish trend in the short term, with potential price drops. - *Market volatility*: Ethereum's price can be affected by various factors, including regulatory changes, market sentiment, and global economic conditions. - *Potential risks*: Cryptocurrency investments carry inherent risks, including the possibility of significant losses ² ³. *Long-term Prospects:* - *Growing ecosystem*: Ethereum's ecosystem is expanding, with increasing adoption and development in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). - *Technological advancements*: Ethereum 2.0 and other upgrades aim to improve scalability, security, and usability. - *Expert predictions*: Some analysts forecast long-term growth, with potential price targets exceeding $6,500 ⁴. *Investment Strategy:* - *Dollar-cost averaging*: Consider investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals to reduce the impact of market volatility. - *Risk management*: Only invest what you can afford to lose, and prioritize risk management. - *Research and analysis*: Stay informed about market trends, technical analysis, and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions. Given the current market conditions, it might be wise to exercise caution and wait for more favorable market conditions before investing in Ethereum. However, if you're looking at long-term growth and believe in Ethereum's potential, you may consider starting a dollar-cost averaging strategy. Always prioritize risk management and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions ⁵. $ETH
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#TRUMP "BREAKING NEWS: A high-stakes meeting between President Donald Trump and President Volodymyr Zelensky ended in a heated exchange on February 28, 2025. Trump stated that Zelenskyy isn't ready for peace with America's involvement, suggesting that the Ukrainian president's stance is prolonging the conflict. The meeting, which was intended to discuss continued US support for Ukraine, ended without a firm resolution. Trump has since prioritized America's interests, sparking concerns about future US support for Ukraine. The confrontation has drawn criticism from European leaders and sparked debate about the US role in the conflict. Markets are likely to react to the uncertainty surrounding the conflict, with investors closely watching developments ¹." $TRUMP
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