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宏觀與行情 市場焦點回到傑克遜霍爾。投資人押注鮑威爾將為9月降息留出空間，利率前景牽動風險資產走勢。美股科技股回檔，納指走弱；比特幣與以太坊失守關鍵位，槓桿多單受挫，短線波動放大。 歷史上，傑克遜霍爾常釋出政策信號，若語氣偏寬鬆，有望修復流動性與風險偏好；若偏中性，波動或延續，資金可能轉向高品質資產觀望
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穩定幣與美債的新連結 穩定幣被視為跨境小額支付的破局者，銀行與商業端採用加速，帶動對短期美債的配置需求 美銀估算，未來一年穩定幣可能催生約250至750億美元的美債增量需求；美國財長也在積極對接發行方，期待其成為美債的關鍵買家 這不只改善美債邊際需求，也把加密更深地嵌入金融核心，政策與市場將形成新的正反饋
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監管基調轉暖的信號 韓國監管機構要求交易所暫停加密借貸，待明確指引落地，以降低用戶風險 同時，美國出現兩個耐人尋味的轉向： 一是SEC主席釋出「僅有少數代幣屬於證券」的表態；二是聯準會監管副主席主張允許員工少量持幣，以培養實務理解 這些動態或為中期合規開道，但短線對高槓桿與空白地帶仍會從嚴管理
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