As of today, August 20, 2025, the markets are generally confident (approximately 80–90%) that the U.S. Federal Reserve will lower the interest rate at the upcoming meeting in September.
Experts are more cautious, with more moderate expectations (around 60%). Recent inflation data has raised these expectations, but the unexpected increase in producer prices adds uncertainty.
Therefore, everyone is now awaiting another speech on Friday that will hint at future policy regarding rates.
Personally, I believe that at this meeting there will once again be complete uncertainty, and everyone will be left wondering whether rates will be lowered in September. Based on this, the market will react with another drop.
But I am not an expert, nor an economist or a financier, and I could be mistaken. Therefore, always rely on your own conclusions, make your own risk assessments, and make decisions with a cool head. DYOR!!!
As for me, I still expect a drop for $AVAX below 20 and $DOT below 3.6.
That's when it will be possible to buy back what has already been sold.
Wishing everyone profitable trades and good spirits;)
