Technical truth
The early session's false rebound is a form of performance art—ETH lies at 4100 like a standard 'coffin board' (current price 4117). Bollinger Bands' three lines are precise to two decimal points (middle track 4137.03 / upper track 4196.91 / lower track 4077.14), MACD's two dead fish are slumped below the zero axis (DIF: 35.04 DEA: 35.10), green volume squeezed out -0.06 of suffocating volume. The most heartbreaking is that the trading volume's column is shorter than a goblin, the four consecutive 'volume shrinking' directly announces liquidity shock.

Three consecutive hits from the news front

Coinbase opens ETH staking: good news treated as bad news, 0.64% increase exposes the main force's lazy attitude. SEC's 8th ETF delay: dog dealer fully loaded with short positions at the 4170 resistance, please enter the trap. A giant whale transferred 28,000 ETH at dawn (115 million dollars on-chain evidence), escaping posture more standard than ants before a typhoon.

Blood and tears case review
August 18th's low-volume false breakthrough at 4200 is still fresh in memory? At that time, the US stock market opened and crashed, with 78% of long positions on the 24-hour liquidation list. Now the same formula: Bollinger Bands squeezed to the limit + MACD playing dead underwater, the dog dealer's scythe is already sharpened.

My practical strategy
Today, the contract account only does three things:

Bullish coffin board nail conditions:
Volume breaks 500% to surpass 4196.91 and holds for 1 hour
MACD golden cross flips above the zero axis and volume > 2. Bear nuclear button position:
4077.14 volume breaks through = 4000 psychological defense line made of paper. Spot safety rule:
Fear index > 70 before (current 48), any bottom fishing is like catching flying knives with bare hands

Endgame Warning
Tonight at 20:30, the US stock market opens to determine life and death! Focus on three key points:
4100 level false break three hits (classic package from the dog dealer)
Single K-line explosive volume 500%+ (trend reversal signal)
3 AM 260 million dollar options expiration (maximum pain point 4150)

(Current position: bullets loaded but finger 1 cm away from the trigger)

The Fuchi team specializes in serving ambitious madmen!Follow Fuchi to cut through the market's thorns.
#俄乌冲突即将结束？