1. Summary

$XRP is retesting the support area ~2.84; a solid 4h reaction is a probing buy signal.

• On-chain whale accumulation is strongly increasing, while ETF filings and partner/news announcements are creating waves of information.

2. Market Overview

The current cash flow is largely characterized by accumulation from large wallets (whales) and ETF filings creating significant short-term news fluctuations.

3. Technical Analysis

Short-term bias: bearish-to-neutral until a 4h bounce is seen; support action around 2.837–2.72, resistance near ~3.10–3.35; 4h RSI very close to the oversold region on the chart.

4. Fundamental Analysis

Short-term fundamental momentum: whale accumulation and news about ETFs/partners (e.g., SWIFT/cross-border focus) are driving demand and liquidity expectations.

5. Sentiment Analysis

Market sentiment is mixed between FOMO among large holders and caution from retail; information about whales/ETFs increases the likelihood of breakout volatility.

6. Strategy

  • Entry: probe buy when a clear 4h candle bounce appears above 2.84–2.92, or buy breakout above 3.10 with confirming volume.

  • Stop-loss: close if 4h closes below 2.72.

  • TP1: ~3.10 (take some profit); TP2: ~3.35–3.60 for the remaining portion.

  • Exit triggers: if a large whale dump occurs or ETF filings face significant obstacles → exit/reduce position.