【Probability of Federal Reserve Rate Cut in September is 86.1%】According to Golden Finance, based on CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 13.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 86.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 6.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 47.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 46%.