$BTC 📊 Daily Market Outlook | Is BTC entering its 4th downward trend or preparing to rise again?
🔎 Market Background
BTC is consolidating near its historical highs, facing strong resistance. The market is now at a decisive stage—will this be the start of the fourth major pullback, or do the bulls have another wave up? The upcoming technical levels will provide answers.
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🟠 BTC
Key Rebound Level: 115,500
If the 2-4 hour candlestick closes above 115,500 and the body is solid → Momentum strengthens, resistance levels at 117,000 – 117,800 – 118,500.
If unable to stay above 115,500 → The rebound lacks strength, with downward targets shifting to 114,200 – 113,500 – 112,500.
Trend Summary:
Continued weakness below 115,500 increases the probability of the start of the fourth downward trend.
A clean breakout and maintenance above 117,000 indicate that the bulls are still in control.
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🟣 Auntie
Key Rebound Level: 4,278
Maintain targets above 4,345 – 4,390 – 4,445.
Failure to bounce back → Downward pressure points to 4,190 – 4,162 – 4,110.
Background: The unlocking of stakes has negatively affected market sentiment; a weak rebound indicates that if 4,278 cannot be maintained, it will retest the low support.
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🔵 BNB
Critical Level: 844
Staying above the aforementioned level → Target 851 – 858 – 862.
Breaking below support → 830 – 824 – 818.
Background: The structure is relatively stable, but if BTC turns risk-averse, decoupling is less likely.
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🟢 SOL
Critical Level: 183
Staying above → Target 186 – 190.
Failure to recover → Support levels at 178 – 175 – 171.
Background: Still consolidating, lacking strong breakout confidence.
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🎯 Overview and Strategy
BTC Sets the Tone:
Above 115,500 → There is room to push to 117,800–118,500.
Below 115,500 → Confirms weakness, may start the 4th downward trend, targets 114,200–112,500.
ETH, BNB, and SOL are highly correlated with BTC’s movements.
Trading Approach:
Use key levels as pivot points → Follow breakouts, strike down failed attempts.
Maintain strict stop-loss discipline (within 1.5–2% above the entry price to avoid being caught by false moves).
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👉 In short: 115,500 is the battlefield. Whether BTC breaks above the high or enters its fourth downward trend will completely depend on this line.
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